PS $1K ES river spot - High Stakes MTT Strategy

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PS $1K ES river spot

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10-19-2010 , 10:34 PM

rh300487

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,864

No Limit Holdem Tournament
PokerStars
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$1000+$50

Stacks:
UTG InaneFool (6,734)
UTG+1 bigdogpckt5s (2,949)
MP1 Hero (9,920)
MP2 NDGrinder59 (8,305)
MP3 HustlerGrune (2,507)
CO TheLipoFund (1,895)
BTN G's zee (7,125)
SB akat11 (4,760)
BB BustDaBubble (4,340)

Blinds: 25/50

Pre-Flop: (75, 9 players) Hero is MP1 K

1 fold, bigdogpckt5s raises to 150, Hero raises to 450, 6 folds, bigdogpckt5s calls 300

Flop: 6

(975, 2 players)
bigdogpckt5s checks, Hero bets 450, bigdogpckt5s calls 450

Turn: 9

(1,875, 2 players)
bigdogpckt5s checks, Hero checks

River: K

(1,875, 2 players)
bigdogpckt5s goes all-in 2,049, 2049 to Hero (9020)?

If he has it, why not let me bluff shove at it ? But he knows this card hits me..

level level level. lost

10-19-2010 , 10:44 PM

AcesVsMuck

adept

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 1,071

i feel lost without having other, better people comment before me

i'd call this pretty quickly at my lower stakes

here, it screams to me value. looks like he knows you have AK a lot here and your calling range is rather inelastic so he may as well jam.

but considering that i'm an idiot and i still realize this, then if he picks you as a good player it wouldn't be much of a leap at all imo to go the other way and call

so i'd probably call

does he setmine with 66, 22, 44 here preflop, btw?

10-20-2010 , 12:01 AM

Mench

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 4,038

he's really good, so fold.

10-20-2010 , 12:49 AM

rh300487

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mench

he's really good, so fold.

He's also realllllllly spewy.

10-20-2010 , 06:41 PM

Konosz

newbie

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 21

i think he has AA here a lot.

10-20-2010 , 07:15 PM

mattwut1

adept

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,032

Quote:

Originally Posted by Konosz

i think he has AA here a lot.

i do 2

10-20-2010 , 07:37 PM

rh300487

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,864

Quote:

Originally Posted by mattwut1

i do 2

me2.. i folded..

From his point of view. This is a terrible shove because everything I call with I would shove the river with as well. And the river just hits my range very hard that I would bluff at it a high % as well.

Thoughts?

10-21-2010 , 10:43 AM

Konosz

newbie

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 21

he could also have AK. 6 AK combos and 3 AA combos marginally -cEV on a call unless u add bluff (???) combos

10-21-2010 , 05:32 PM

Gags30

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 2,430

Quote:

Originally Posted by rh300487

From his point of view. This is a terrible shove because everything I call with I would shove the river with as well. And the river just hits my range very hard that I would bluff at it a high % as well.

Thoughts?

this can't possibly be correct.

also, you're making the assumption that he has you beat 100% of the time. he's certainly capable of turning a lower pocket pair into a bluff here, and i'm sure does so a non-zero % of the time...so perhaps, in fact, his shove is very good, and your fold is what's terrible......

10-21-2010 , 05:45 PM

#10

isuxatpokerbad

2015 WSOP ME Champ

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 7,629

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gags30

qfgags

10-21-2010 , 06:05 PM

#11

Dana Gordon

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 3,823

ANYTHING OTHER THAN SNAP CALL RIVER IS ****ING RIDICULOUS/END THREAD

10-21-2010 , 09:25 PM

#12

Sinking Ship

adept

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 1,153

He prob got hood with the 35 sooted...
I also think you see a chop here a large % of the time... but I think the times you don't chop you'll be beaten significantly more than bluffed.

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