From Sunday 500, ~140 left with 117 itm. Villain is a HS reg; I was 2-tabling without a HUD so no exact stats but I've been reasonably active; he hadn't done much of note. Was 2-tabling as well.







Think OTF he has a decent amount of AT/KT, some AA maybe (note sizing?) and some bluffs.
No idea if he fires all 3 with a turned K or AT but I don't think he barrels off enough bluffs to call river profitably, esp somewhat close to the bubble? And I get to the river with a decent amount of better hands so no real worries about being exploited methinks.

Anyone just folding turn?

you may be wrong here.

b/f flop to avoid thin high variance spot?
I`d bet flop bigger as well.

Check flop behind.

1) we are never getting 3 streets of value
2) we want to control the size of the pot, and avoid these random checkraises because we are gonna be put in an awkward spot a high % of the time, even though he isn't repping a lot.
3) when an overcard hits the board, we could rep those pretty easily since we checked the flop behind. Also he won't be bluffing on those cards too much since we checked behind.
4) we have a backdoor flush, which makes our decision on some turns much more easier.

From todays Sunday Million Wcoop Challange

From one angle the each street looks relatively standard, from another angle it looks like a train wreck

preflop felt alright, I had history with opener, though I guess looking at it now I wouldnt mind 3betting instead

BTN thought it over for quite some time if that means anything

UTG is running at 38/10 with 50% cbet

Both players behind me have a VPIP of 20% over 80 hands and no 3bets

11 left in the warmup yesterday. Villain is 24/20/14 in 170 hands.
Fold and move on?
Very interested in sizing and optimal flop action.

No Limit Holdem Tournament
PokerStars
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$200+$15

Stacks:
UTG (4,054k) 20bb
CO (2,208k) 11bb
BTN (6,012k) 30bb
Hero (SB) (4,696k) 23bb
BB (6,648k) 33bb

Blinds: 100k/200k Ante 20k

Pre-Flop: (400k, 5 players) Hero is SB Q Q
3 folds, Hero raises to 488k, BB calls 288k

Flop: K 7 J (1,076k, 2 players)
Hero bets 669k, BB raises to 1,700k, Hero???

You need postflop stats to discuss postflop spots generally. I think I'd fold now, but I'm tempted to start with a x/c on the flop.

agree with ben, pretty clear ch/c imho

Flying blind, no HUD

call> fold> raise imo.

Agree. Would rather raise if we had like Q9 bc then we may fold out QJ KQ AQ. Here raising just folds out what we beat and likely nothing that beats us. But don't think we have seen enough strength to fold yet.

No HH so posting from memory. Sunday supersonic, 215 left, 198 cash ($367 mincash). I have 44k @ 1k/2k w antes (prob like a top 10ish stack?); SB is a reg with 70k ish, BB unknown with like 8BB. UTG calls for his last 2k and it folds to me on the BTN.

Without the limper I'd just r/gii vs SB (and obv BB) and feel reasonably happy about it. With the all-in player I'd like to go 6k/call but does the UTG limper change ranges enough to deviate from this plan?

I hope you don't take this the wrong way - pablito, but this is the ultimate math problem for the ultimate math wizard like yourself. Do you honestly think you're going to get any better advice in the quick check-up thread than you could work through on your own?

Would be interesting to know what kind of reg SB is.
Considering your stats, and opening ~70% from late pos, I think I'd iso pretty wide here as sb, especially with a slight icm-consideration added.
Question here is if YOUR range deviates with the utg. Yes we get to showdown if we get folds, but YES villains are aware your 70% raisingrange provides enough equity vs utg atc, so basically all stays the same.
FWIW, I think regs really don't mind showing a weaker hand which they 3betted with pre. Probably QTo should be a profitable shove vs your stats and fact they have to show vs utg doesn't make all that a difference.
Especially not on your level.
Think at midstakes with worse players it sure does make a difference and SB should indeed be shoving somewhat tighter.

Midstakes fishreg so not sure if Im reading this right, but with this setup shouldn't sb be jamming over you obscenely wide and you have to fold? Majority of your equity is from cashing - which you can do blindfolded with that chip setup and you really shouldn't even want to take a 60/40 AI vs sb if you dont have to. I'm only opening ~25-30% imo and calling off a relatively slim portion of that vs sb, bb is r/gii obv. If btn is opening wise here I'm hamming any A, most Kxs, K8+, Q9o+, Q8s, J9o+, J8s+, 56s+,86s+, 22+...possibly even wider if they'll fold to my 3bs frequently, but I presume thats not the case here, even so I wouldnt want to be opening 70% of hands here with or w/o UTG, more like 30%...unless im horribly missing something

Thoughts on river in 1k scoop here? vs decent reg

Poker Stars $1000+$50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t30/t60 Blinds + t5 - 9 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP1: t1891 M = 14.01
MP2: t5178 M = 38.36
CO: t8022 M = 59.42
BTN: t2101 M = 15.56
SB: t7661 M = 56.75
BB: t3378 M = 25.02
UTG: t7714 M = 57.14
UTG+1: t10960 M = 81.19
UTG+2: t3110 M = 23.04

Pre Flop: (t135)
3 folds, MP1 raises to t135, 4 folds, BB calls t75

Flop: (t345) J J K (2 players)
BB checks, MP1 bets t120, BB calls t120

Turn: (t585) 8 (2 players)
BB checks, MP1 checks

River: (t585) Q (2 players)
BB bets t300, MP1 raises to t1603, BB raises to t2906, MP1 calls t28 all in

Final Pot: t3847
MP1 shows 9 A (a flush, Ace high)
BB shows 8 J (a full house, Jacks full of Eights)
BB wins t3847

Nearing the money in OPS #69. This is villain's first hand at the table. Looking back I believe this is a fold readless, but would like some confirmation that this call was a mistake

Assuming you're MP1, I don't really see what you can do differently on the river. Sometimes you just have an A high flush against a full house.

$215 50k GTD on WPN

I am a nit. Seems good spot to rep. AQ or 99,44?
What about sizing.

On the 88 hand, define 'nearing the money'. I would generally call here, as sometimes JJ+ is going to get cute and either flat or clickback so I think we see lower pairs and Ax and broadways enough to call.

Venetien DSE $150k. We are withering with ~21bb at 200/400/50 level and have been card dead all day. Passive omc w 30bbs and tendency to limp/fold from all positions limps in UTG+1. Passive 35-40 yo w 40bbs limps behind in MP. Hero has K8hh on the button. Shove or wait for a better spot?

So I'm playing the final day of the Aria WPT500 tomorrow. There will be around 180 people left. We're all in the money, but I would like to win more, duh. Real money doesn't get paid for quite a while, though.

I've got ~20 bbs.

I was hoping to hear optimal strategies for play in this situation. What should my 3-bet-shove range look like, assuming a normal open from a larger stack? What should my opening range look like, mid to late position?

Just basic advice in this situation. I wanna make sure I'm not over-looking something or that I over-think it!

Can someone tell me how bad/not bad this is - my busto hand from the ME.

Last level day 2, blinds 600/1200, I have ~ 40k, have just doubled through but have been slowly going on tilt all day, two tough tables on consecutive days, get to this table and its very soft by comparison but I'm handcuffed by my stack. Got crippled on this table holding KK vs AQ AIPF earlier, ran it up from 6k from there.

I have AK o UTG, open to ~ 2600, get 3 bet from bttn to 5900, I 4 bet to 12600, he ships it and I call it off. Obv he has the nuts as he hasn't 4 bet/5 bet in the previous 2 hours I've been at the table.

Is this as bad as what I think it is now? Any answers more than a simple yes or no appreciated.

Is Villain capable of 3 bet/5 bet without the nuts? Some people in the ME won't event 3 bet and def not 5 bet without KK/AA. Given the super deep structure of the Main Event and the 2 hour levels I would have to throw 35BB in the middle pre v. villain who will rarely have a range less then KK+

http://youtu.be/43XVcBX5Y0k

Feels like a close fold, anyone wants to do the math on this?

Sunday 50k in NJ.

Blinds 250/500/50, still well off bubble.

(10k)Hero is 17/14/2.5
(8.5k)V is 19/12/3 with a 3b of 3.3%

Hero has JJ UTG. Raises to 1500(3bb)
V shoves BTN for 8500(17bb)

Under what circumstances should I consider calling here? Is this always a fold against this opponent at this stage, or do we think he is loosening up enough at 20bb to make this a +EV call?