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When to bluff all-in on the river? When to bluff all-in on the river?

02-06-2019 , 04:31 PM
Was trying to represent a flush... got called instantly. Not sure why it didn't work. I thought only a set or two pair would beat me and my all-in would represent a flush.


PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
MP: 88 BB (VPIP: 22.73, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 2.44, Hands: 111)
MP+1: 93 BB (VPIP: 18.37, PFR: 12.24, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 50)
CO: 100 BB
BTN: 71 BB (VPIP: 38.46, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
Hero (SB): 170 BB
BB: 256 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 8.64, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 83)
UTG: 130 BB (VPIP: 31.43, PFR: 2.94, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 71)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, CO posts penalty blind 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has A K

fold, fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, MP calls 6 BB

Flop: (20 BB, 2 players) 9 5 T
Hero bets 9.5 BB, MP calls 9.5 BB

Turn: (39 BB, 2 players) A
Hero bets 18 BB, MP calls 18 BB

River: (75 BB, 2 players) J
Hero bets 133.5 BB and is all-in, MP calls 51.5 BB and is all-in
Spoiler:

Hero shows A K (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 48%, Flop 4%, Turn 0%)
MP shows 9 9 (Three of a Kind, Nines)
(Pre 52%, Flop 96%, Turn 100%)
MP wins 172 BB

Last edited by baal666; 02-06-2019 at 04:37 PM.
When to bluff all-in on the river? Quote
02-07-2019 , 03:44 AM
You have TPTK in a 3bet pot vs an 88bb stack. I don't think bluffing here will work out well.
He's not folding a set. If he calls flop AJ hes not folding it now.

If you shove have to hope hes calling with AQ and QQ/KK
When to bluff all-in on the river? Quote
02-07-2019 , 08:32 AM
You just don´t beat anything here other than AQ. KK and QQ 4bet pre. KK for sure, maybe QQ flats. But then again, I would expect QQ to raise the flop if villain decided to just call your 3bet pre and would most likely fold QQ on the turn (if he decided to call pre and the cbet).
And other than that, any reasonable hand has you beat or split with AK. The straight gets there and the flush too. And you don´t even have a flush/straight blocker.
When to bluff all-in on the river? Quote
02-10-2019 , 06:09 PM
So how should I have played it?
When to bluff all-in on the river? Quote
02-10-2019 , 06:28 PM
check river
When to bluff all-in on the river? Quote

      
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