I'm not on for folding sets. But this is close?


Main V has never donked a flop and although aggressive post its controlled.

What am I beating here that does this? Some combo draws?

MP+2: 101.2 BB (VPIP: 11.90, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 42)
CO: 588.8 BB (VPIP: 25.97, PFR: 11.69, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 80)
BTN: 114 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 5)
SB: 100.4 BB (VPIP: 23.09, PFR: 13.38, 3Bet Preflop: 4.43, Hands: 834)
BB: 105.6 BB (VPIP: 12.79, PFR: 9.56, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 686)
UTG: 98.6 BB (VPIP: 13.13, PFR: 8.08, 3Bet Preflop: 4.23, Hands: 199)
UTG+1: 104.2 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.26, PFR: 13.01, 3Bet Preflop: 4.22, Hands: 616)
Hero (MP+1): 157.4 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 6 6

fold, UTG+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, MP+2 calls 2 BB, fold, BTN calls 2 BB, fold, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (10.4 BB, 5 players) 7 T 6
BB bets 8.8 BB, fold, Hero raises to 23.4 BB, MP+2 calls 23.4 BB, fold, BB raises to 103.6 BB and is all-in, Hero?

I think I flat the flop.. but as played call?

What do I beat when I call this? I think jj+ 3B's a lot pre here and V wont go this aggro with those hands.

I'm with Chips.

You only need to hit 37% of your draws to make this call worthwhile: 80.2 BB call / 217.6 BB final pot.

You are 37% to improve your hand on the turn or river (7/47 + 10/46).

Finally, I believe there are more draws and hands you beat in villains range than TT or 77, so call.

We have to consider that JJ/QQ flat pre some % of the time vs an EP raise, and this lead (as opposed to a check raise) feels more like an OP than a set or straight. MP2's line would be really scary from a solid reg (who would know than one pair's no good here and get outta dodge), but against someone we only have 42 hands on, I'm fine to get in. I'm fine to fold strong 1-pair hands here, though.

Thanks all.

I’ve had good instincts (or instincts that happen to prove right) then ignore them.

I thought this V only does this nutted. So I believed the flop range after the action to be TT, 77 or the straight. Then talked myself round to exactly what is suggested. Flush/straight draws, overpairs possibly some top pairs.

He had a set of tens. It’s just one example in a cluster these past couple of months. I really don’t want to get results orientated and think I might have started to here.


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