Three barrel on super dry board
07-29-2018
, 05:08 PM
NL10 Online
Preflop: UTG+2 ($9.36) limps, CO ($23.44; weak limping range; likes to limp-fold) limps, Hero ($10.67) SB K9o raise to $0.50, EP limper calls
In the moment, I didn't see the first limper. I knew the CO really likes to limp-fold, so I went for it. K9o usually is far outside the range I do this with. Looking back, with the other limper, looking to steal this wide is probably too much, but attacking the CO seems profitable given my read.
Flop ($1.14): J
4
3
; bet $0.60, call
Seems like a super dry board that I will force a lot of folds on. Also, I think it's good to use a small sizing on dry boards, because that's what I'd do with AA and I want to be consistent. Another reason I like this bet size is because it should be enough to force a lot of folds, because so much stuff whiffs this flop. And getting called by weak jacks and pocket pairs isn't bad because I should be able to force a lot of that to fold on later streets.
Turn ($2.27): 4; bet $1.80, call
At this point I figure he has a jack or a pocket pair. I can still represent strength, and I figure a big turn bet should get him off a lot of that range.
River ($5.67): Q
; all in $6.46
After the turn call, I was planning on giving up, but I figured the queen should be a scare card that gets him off a lot of jacks and any pocket pairs that stuck around. In retrospect, I'm not sure how strong his range is after the turn, and I'm not sure whether he's folding jacks on the river. The bet only needs to work about 53% of the time to be profitable, and I feel like it should work more than that, maybe 70%. Especially given the big sizing.
He ended up calling and showing JJ. I see a lot of opponents limp strong hands and avoid raising with them. I want to make them pay for those mistakes, but when they blend that range with their weak range, I'm not sure if there's anything I could do to avoid paying them off when they have the nuts.
Preflop: UTG+2 ($9.36) limps, CO ($23.44; weak limping range; likes to limp-fold) limps, Hero ($10.67) SB K9o raise to $0.50, EP limper calls
In the moment, I didn't see the first limper. I knew the CO really likes to limp-fold, so I went for it. K9o usually is far outside the range I do this with. Looking back, with the other limper, looking to steal this wide is probably too much, but attacking the CO seems profitable given my read.
Flop ($1.14): J
43; bet $0.60, callSeems like a super dry board that I will force a lot of folds on. Also, I think it's good to use a small sizing on dry boards, because that's what I'd do with AA and I want to be consistent. Another reason I like this bet size is because it should be enough to force a lot of folds, because so much stuff whiffs this flop. And getting called by weak jacks and pocket pairs isn't bad because I should be able to force a lot of that to fold on later streets.
Turn ($2.27): 4
; bet $1.80, callAt this point I figure he has a jack or a pocket pair. I can still represent strength, and I figure a big turn bet should get him off a lot of that range.
River ($5.67): Q
; all in $6.46After the turn call, I was planning on giving up, but I figured the queen should be a scare card that gets him off a lot of jacks and any pocket pairs that stuck around. In retrospect, I'm not sure how strong his range is after the turn, and I'm not sure whether he's folding jacks on the river. The bet only needs to work about 53% of the time to be profitable, and I feel like it should work more than that, maybe 70%. Especially given the big sizing.
He ended up calling and showing JJ. I see a lot of opponents limp strong hands and avoid raising with them. I want to make them pay for those mistakes, but when they blend that range with their weak range, I'm not sure if there's anything I could do to avoid paying them off when they have the nuts.
