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river bluff with blockers? river bluff with blockers?

02-25-2018 , 10:08 AM
How do you feel about this river bluff? I felt at the time that I could fold out some overpairs, and I have two blocker to the nuts. Villain is (10/9) over decent enough sample and capable of folding

PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 140.2 BB
UTG: 250 BB (VPIP: 20.91, PFR: 13.66, 3Bet Preflop: 2.84, Hands: 491)
UTG+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 15.65, PFR: 12.23, 3Bet Preflop: 4.39, Hands: 560)
MP: 43.2 BB (VPIP: 18.24, PFR: 3.04, 3Bet Preflop: 2.19, Hands: 332)
MP+1: 115.2 BB (VPIP: 47.87, PFR: 1.06, 3Bet Preflop: 2.94, Hands: 94)
MP+2: 116 BB (VPIP: 16.17, PFR: 8.38, 3Bet Preflop: 1.64, Hands: 169)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 14.81, PFR: 12.96, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 55)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 9.78, PFR: 8.74, 3Bet Preflop: 7.89, Hands: 185)
SB: 52.2 BB (VPIP: 15.69, PFR: 1.96, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 51)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 9 9

fold, fold, MP calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 4 BB, fold, Hero calls 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB

Flop: (12.4 BB, 3 players) 4 6 8
Hero bets 8.8 BB, fold, BTN raises to 20 BB, Hero calls 11.2 BB

Turn: (52.4 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (52.4 BB, 2 players) A
Hero bets 47 BB, fold,
river bluff with blockers? Quote
02-25-2018 , 06:40 PM
he has too many Ax hands here and overpairs are a small part of his range, you have showdown value so id check and hope he checks behind
river bluff with blockers? Quote
02-26-2018 , 12:09 AM
The T makes me think he is on a draw of some sort -- overs, flush, or straight. The R hits his overs range, but nothing else. I like a chk-C, to allow V to bluff, a bunch more than turning your 99 into a bluff.

By Bing, you allow V to play perfectly on the R. He Cs with an Ax -- the R A is what he was waiting to hit! -- and to fold any busted draws. A lose-lose for you. Your chk-C still loses to the A's in his range, but makes $$$ as a bluff catcher.
river bluff with blockers? Quote
02-26-2018 , 11:55 AM
I'd fold otf because over 95% of times we face a raise on the flop means we are beaten even with an overpair.
river bluff with blockers? Quote

      
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