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10NL Turning top pair into a bluff on the river in a 3 bet pot 10NL Turning top pair into a bluff on the river in a 3 bet pot

08-07-2018 , 12:53 PM
Good bluff or spew?

Are they getting too good of a price here to fold a straight/set on the river here? How thin do you think they are betting this river, do you think they would be betting two pair or even aces?

Was thinking this is probably better to do with a club in the hand but I would typically 4-bet AQo and AKo, so there are not many one club hands that I have on the river compared to the many possibilities of value I could be doing this with.

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 31.91, PFR: 21.28, 3Bet Preflop: 17.65, Hands: 49)
SB: 108 BB (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 23.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
BB: 176.1 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
Hero (UTG): 120.6 BB
MP: 138.7 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 42.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
CO: 190.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q A

Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to 10 BB, Hero calls 7.5 BB

Flop: (20.5 BB, 2 players) 3 Q J
BB bets 10 BB, Hero calls 10 BB

Turn: (40.5 BB, 2 players) 6
BB bets 20 BB, Hero calls 20 BB

River: (80.5 BB, 2 players) T
BB bets 38.5 BB, Hero raises to 80.6 BB and is all-in...

Last edited by blockerchain; 08-07-2018 at 12:58 PM.
10NL Turning top pair into a bluff on the river in a 3 bet pot Quote
08-07-2018 , 01:59 PM
A Bluff with TPTK when villian gets 1:5 on his call can never be good. I would rather call.
10NL Turning top pair into a bluff on the river in a 3 bet pot Quote
08-07-2018 , 02:04 PM
If we are going to bluff this river we should have Ac in our hand. You are too optimistic if you think anyone is folding better than TPTK at any real frequency at 10NL.

River looks like a fold. AK and clubs get there, whats left that we beat?
10NL Turning top pair into a bluff on the river in a 3 bet pot Quote
08-07-2018 , 02:37 PM
Think you are probably right about people not folding here at a high enough frequency at these stakes here to make this profitable. Assuming we were at higher stakes would you still say this is a just a fold, because if we only bluff with an ace of clubs that only leaves AQcd and AQcs as bluffs seeing as I would be folding A10o preflop, and AJ on the turn. And thats assuming im always flatting AQ pre-flop

Last edited by blockerchain; 08-07-2018 at 02:50 PM.
10NL Turning top pair into a bluff on the river in a 3 bet pot Quote

      
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