Quote:
Originally Posted by eckstein88
Not sure which stats to post so here's the default for HEM:
Flop Cbet: 65.2
Flop Cbet Success: 45.7
Turn Cbet: 53.8
Flop Fold vs Cbet: 63.3
Flop vs Raise Fold%: 57.6
Steal: 34.3
Preflop Positional Awareness: 6.67
River Call Efficiency: 2.06
Edit: Also, I might be doing it a little, but I'm not fighting when I get "played back at" particularly much. This is my second foray into 50nl and I remember that problem from last time
Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
SB: $50.00
BB: $51.50
Hero (UTG): $56.30
UTG+1: $108.10
UTG+2: $52.00
MP1: $50.35
MP2: $45.00
CO: $38.40
BTN: $65.30
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with K A
Hero raises to $2, 4 folds, CO calls $2, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50
Flop: ($6.25) K Q 5 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3, CO calls $3, BB folds
Turn: ($12.25) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, CO raises to $14, Hero folds
Wow, you are having some problems.
1. Your blind loss rates are huge. It could just be sample size, but you are really going to have to pay attention to them. They need to come down a lot; your SB by about half and your BB by about 1/3. Read a few posts up where I talked about finding leaks from the blinds. One thing you are going to have to do is 3 bet more from the blinds. Your stats are the tightest I have ever seen from the blinds. You need to know that the SB is a stealing position, too.
2. Your late position win rates are really low. It looks to me like you are probably losing money postflop on your steals that get called. Your flop aggression % on the button is the lowest of all your non-blind positions. You are playing your steals more passively than you do pretty much anything else. That's not terrible in theory, but you have to make sure you are c-betting a decent number of your steals, simply because your range is too weak to win at showdown with any consistency.
3. You need to be 3 and 4 betting more from all positions.
4. Your W$SD and your River Call efficiency are both on the high side. You may be folding a few winning hands to river pressure.
Your fundamentals look pretty sound. You'll obviously be able to beat the game.
I don't hate the fold in the hand you posted. If you're going to make a mistake, making a small one is better than making a big one. KQx and AQx boards are basically the worst for AK when it makes a hand. The flush draw is going to screw up the turn for you a lot, and so are an ace or a 9.
That said, you probably folded the best hand. He is repping a narrow range, basically 55 and KQ as hands that beat you, otherwise he is min-raising a draw or air.
But at $50, people are raising a lot of flops that look scary. Well, not a lot like at $400, but there are plenty of people out there min-raising c-bets.
When you get raised on a flop that looks like it didn't hit the villain or you, you have to be prepared to do something at least some of the time against the most aggro guys--4 bet, call and re-eval, or turn your hand into a re-bluff.
The villain in this hand is a 15/5/3, so I figured his range to call preflop was pocket pairs and suited hands--connectors and maybe some aces. His small raise on the flop, to me, says he has an underpair to the board most of the time and just wants me to go away. I think he is trying to rep a T, but his range and card removal don't leave him a ton of Ts to have, so I don't really buy it.
Full Tilt Poker $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (UTG+2): $52.25
MP1: $54.80
MP2: $43.15
CO: $98.70
BTN: $16.75
SB: $50.00
BB: $112.90
UTG: $50.75
UTG+1: $59.20
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG+2 with 4
4
2 folds,
Hero raises to $1.75,
2 folds, CO calls $1.75,
3 folds
Flop: ($4.25) T
Q
T
(2 players)
Hero bets $3.00,
CO raises to $7.25, Hero calls $4.25
Turn: ($18.75) 3
(2 players)
Hero bets $14.50, CO folds
Final Pot: $18.75
Hero wins $17.85
(Rake: $0.90)
Not a play I make a lot, but he was pretty aggro, and I felt pretty confident that his range couldn't take a lot of pressure. There's a non-zero chance that I had the best hand, so I may have sacrificed some showdown value here, but it is hard to see a passive line getting to showdown with the best hand, so I just elected to turn my hand into a bluff and fold 55-99 and JJ. I'm also aware that he can have hands like KJ (probably suited) and suited connectors that can hit a pair and be good against me. So I realize I may be charging some draws as well.
Again, I'm not saying this is a great play and I am not saying you can make this play a lot. But people are raising junk, and you can't just auto-fold to very raise.