Quote:
Originally Posted by DCSemi
Okay guys, I *REALLY* need your inputs about the following stats I'm gonna show you. However, I'd like you to know a little about me... it may help you in your analysis.
I started playing on Stars with $30, starting by 4tabling NL2 and grinding my way up. Once I was at $120, I moved up to NL5. In no time (about 12k hands), I made 28 Buy-ins (~$140) so I moved up to NL10, and then... it's a little harder. I played about 120k hands at NL10, and I can't win constantly. I made some cash and tried to move up at NL25 (when I was at about $700 on my roll) but I ran REALLY bad (set over set, flush vs. boats, very BAD luck for me at NL25). So I was back in NL10... I grinded a bit more to give another shot at NL25 and it wasn't *that* good, so now, I'm trying to get my game at the "next" level, so I can be a better player, and move up. To be honest, I'm getting frustrated at still be playing NL10 so I really look forward to have some inputs to make my game better.
So here they are (the stats) and I hope your comments will be constructive and useful. If anyone feels like sending me a PM to give his "analysis", I'll appreciate for sure.
So feel free to help me.
Your PFR and VPIP are a little too spread apart, esp from late position. You might be limping hands like 77 from the c/o after a few limpers, or over limping 910s after 4 limpers. That is fine. Raising is better. 77 and 910s get a lot of their total value from their fold equity instead of showdown value equity (as opposed to AA for example). If you play these passively after limpers, you are giving up the most valuable thing about these hands.
Your went to showdown is high. You could either be not betting enough on later streets when you are ahead, or you could be calling too much behind. Your AF of 2-3 is a little low. It tells me that you are not playing draws aggressively, and are going for pot control too much.
Your 3b% of less than 3% is missing out on a lot of chances to squeeze and steal. You are folding to 3 bets just a tad too often. Learn what criteria are make for a good light 3 bet, and see when regs w/ high 3 bet stats do this to you in that spot, punish them by either 4 betting or flatting and floating.
Your blind play looks ok. I think you might be completing and calling raises a bit too much, and not punishing obv blind thiefs.
A lot earlier itt, mpethybridge gave a quick guide to improving your blind play.
In the small blind, when it is folded to you, raise almost any 2 cards.
In the big blind, when there is only a LP limper, raise a lot of hands.
In the big blind, when the action is only the small blind completing, raise almost any two cards (but be careful and respect 3 bets, because people often limp big hands here).
In limped pots, Hu or 3 way, bet any pair or draw you flop if the texture of the flop is bad.
It's an oldie but goodie--consider betting with any two cards in a limped 2 or 3 way pot when the flop is paired.
In the big blind, HU against the SB, if he checks, bet. always. seriously, always. If he calls, bet a lot of turns, too.
Analyze your 3 betting. make sure you are 3 betting hands you want to felt and hands that are just barely not good enough to call a steal with--flat call with everything in between.
Carefully analyze your 3 bet hands that see a flop. This is a HUGE leak, because these are big pots. Losing too much in these spots is KILLING my blind play. If you are negative in hands you 3 bet out of the blinds (excluding your monsters) you would be better off for the time being folding these hands while you crack the code on how to play these pots (most villains will not notice your temporarily unbalanced 3 betting range).
Avoid getting into ego-driven pissing contests. I lost a $30 pot a few days ago in the big blind with 82o. Yep, true story! It folded to the SB, who completed, and I raised to 2. He called. Flop had two spades. He checked, i bet, he called. Turn completed the flush. he bet $10, I RAISED, lol, and he called. Common sense eventually returned, and when he checked the river I checked behind (and saw his flush). lol, oh well, meta-game. But really, $30 of absolutely mindless spew, just bound and determined to WIN THIS POT. lol, don't do it.
Your W$SD needs to be much higher. If you are playing very agro and laggy it is ok to have this below 50% b/c you are pushing draws so hard and applying pressure to get hands you know are better to fold, which doesn’t always work. This will be offset by a massively positive red line. If you are playing a TAG style with a negative red line, you need this up around 54%.
On the whole, I think that your biggest leak might be hand reading. Put people on a range, and narrow that range on each street until you have a fairly good idea of where they are at. Think about what hand you have represented. Given what you have represented, how does the villains range react to a check/bet/raise ect… Also, ask is this the type of villain who is even paying attention to what I am doing and trying to put me on a hand/range? If no, play in a much more exploitable manner, to exploit those who will not exploit you.