Quote:
Originally Posted by Teddie
Don - My VPIP is the same as your but my VPIP from the hijack is 16%, CO is 20% and BTN is 23%. At NL 50 you should be stealing more. About 35%+ would be good. You'll make most of your money from Late position.
Your flop AF seems very low, my turn AF is higher then your flop for example. Your probaly calling in spots where you should be raising which will give you some FE and help take a pots down.
AF a trickey beast to figure out though, your river one is alot higher then mine but that could be because your are folding in spots where a call might be best, or betting in spots where you wont get much value.
Don:
I agree with everything Teddie said. In addition:
You are getting slaughtered in non-showdown pots. There are two clear indicators that this is the major problem:
1. Your W$WSF% is
extremely low at 34%
2. Your red line on your graph.
There are a lot of reasons why this could be happening. Normally this is mostly a blind play problem, but that is not the case for you--your blind play looks pretty good (but keep working on it, of course).
It's not really possible to tell from your stats what the problem is. Here are some areas to check in PT3:
1. 3 bet pots. Filter for pots where you are the preflop raiser and you are facing a 3 bet. This is a tough spot to be in and can cause non-showdown losses in big chunks. I don't know what is a "normal" win or loss rate
per se, but common sense tells us that if you are losing more per hand than your average preflop raise, then you are leaking post-flop in 3 bet pots., and would be better off folding all of the non-premium hands you are currently seeing a flop with. So that is one bench mark you can look for.
2. 3 bet pots that saw a flop. Once you have looked at the basic results above, filter for the hands that saw a flop and look at your performance. This sample should be small enough that you can sort it by amount lost and study each hand individually. You are not looking for the big losses, necessarily--those are the coolers most likely--you are studying all of those $7 losses in the middle where you called, the villain bet and you folded. What starting hands do you see there? Did you fail to use position to make a play for the pot even if you missed? Did you make a play for the pot too often and change a bunch of $7 losses into $17 losses?
3. Your 3 bets. Your win rate in pots you 3 bet should be obscene. Check to make sure it is high--we are talking several hundred ptbb/100 hands. If it is not in the hundreds, you are leaking in 3 bet pots, most likely by playing fit or fold.
4. Button play. Your button win rate is a tiny bit on the low side. this is not a major leak for you, but go back over the hands you raised otb and look at your win rate. look at your continuation bet frequency, look for spots where you bet with air and were called. Try to note any patterns in flop texture you see, so you can avoid c-betting bad flop types in the future. I am pretty sure, for example, that villains love to defend their blinds at $50 with ragged aces. Also, look at the flip side; make sure you are c-betting enough, and not just playing fit or fold when you are on a steal. The goal here is to shave off a few c-bets from your losses and add a few wins that you are currently giving up on, in order to get your button win rate up to about .15ptbb/hand. When you combine winning a higher percentage, losing less on the losers, and playing more hands on the button as Teddie suggested, a win rate of .20 is definitely attainable.
5. Cut off play. Same as above. Play the cut off exactly like the button except when you have a solid TAg to your immediate left (and in that case you should normally leave the table).
6. Cold calling. Filter for the hands where you cold called a preflop raise. A small positive win rate is standard. If you are losing money in pots you called, you are leaking.
7. Going too far with marginal hands. Filter for hands that do not go to showdown in which you call a bet on the flop, turn or both. Since we are normally betting our good hands and good draws, this is a very effective filter to find our marginal hands that we are uncomfortable with. You are not looking for a win rate here, you are looking at the individual hands to see what you are doing. Are you only calling with good odds (express or implied)? Are you floating villains with low c-bet percentages? Are you trying too hard to get weak pair hands to showdown against multiple streets of aggression? Other than hands you slow played, EVERY ONE of these hands is a potential leak, in which you should have folded preflop, or to a post flop bet.
Those are about the only spots I can think of at the moment that might be causing you to lose too much postflop.
I hope you find the leaks. PM or AIM me while you are looking if you have any questions.