No Limit Hold'em $0.10/$0.25
PokerStars
6 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com: Poker HUD for Mac and Windows

Stacks:
UTG - UTG ($26.39)
MP - MP ($25.00)
CO - Hero ($46.55)
BTN - BTN ($27.19)
SB - SB ($25.00)
BB - BB ($27.36)

Preflop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is CO with 9 9
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.62, 2 folds, BB raises to $2.75, Hero calls $2.13

Flop: J 2 8 ($5.60, 2 players)
BB bets $3.75, Hero calls $3.75

Turn: K ($13.10, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6.50, BB calls $6.50

River: K ($26.10, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks



Here the BB 3bets me, I think that I have often the best Hand, I call the Flop because I think he will often CB me, Then Turn comes the K of spades what is not optimal but I would guess if he hits the flush or 2 pair or if he has AK he would lead, so I turn my 99 into a bluff and bet here, he calls, then at the River a K comes.
Question: is it a good idea to bluff here?
I have a note of him that he is playing very cautious, he check-called a Set with TT on a dry board.
So my question is, can I raise the river? I mean it would be a sick bluff to go AI here, but he will almost never have a Flush, maybe he has a K, but I would expect he leads on the river, a boat he would also lead on the river.
So what will he have here in his range, maybe AQ, AA, QQ, AJ, maybe some suited connectors? What you guys think, what would be a good move here?
All in all how it turned out I am quite satisfied, but I am looking for the best play But I am very happy for some feedback.

Smells like FPS, you're overthinking things, just check turn/river and hope to win. He might or might not barrel AK/AA and he might or might not call turn/river with that, he has a decent range advantage and trying to get AA to fold in 3bet pots is not the way to beat microstakes.

It's a blind steal situation, so villain's range is somewhat wider than normal.

However, as played, check the turn behind, a 1/2 pot bet pretty much makes the villain pot committed for the river with any decent holding. And, your hand isn't good enough to play for stacks here.

As played on the river, the pot is $26, and villain has $14 behind. Going AI on the river is spewing. I'm not even sure you get QQ to fold often enough to make a bluff in that spot worth it when your line clearly looks like you are bluffing to a nitty villain.

I guess my tought was to bluff a flush on the Turn, especially after his check I knew he is afraid of some hands, I don't think this play is to bad. I will often have KQ, or a Set. So I am not sure if he can call profitable my bet here against my range. I will have to calculate with flopzilla. But on NL25 I think I can not expect that he will fold anything here...