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MW Pot with nut flush, board pairs, facing bet MW Pot with nut flush, board pairs, facing bet

04-11-2021 , 08:53 PM
200NL
8 handed
Been on the table for 38 hands

UTG+2: 126.94BB : 38/3/0. Has limped UTG and limp called AKo.
LJ: 126BB : 5/5/5. Hero, haven't had many playable hands.
CO: 98.5BB : 10/10/0. Only note, called 3bet OOP with JJ.
BB: 566.52BB : 21/11/0. Has called 76s from blinds.

fold, fold, UTG+2 3BB, Hero KJ (I was going to 3bet and iso fish but) calls, fold, CO calls, fold, fold, BB calls.

Flop, 12.50BB, 825

BB check, UTG+2 check, Hero check, CO 5BB, BB calls, UTG+2 folds, Hero calls.

Turn, 27.50BB, 825 A

BB leads 10.07, Hero (debated calling or raising, I wanted to keep smaller flushes in and keeps bluffs firing) calls, CO calls.

River, 57.69BB, 825 A 2

BB checks, Hero checks, CO 35BB, BB calls, Hero?

I ran this spot in flopzilla (I'll put ranges I used below). I gave both villains no bluffs with weakest hands being 2 pair and reasonable flushes. It says on this river I have over 32% equity on these ranges and the pot odds I'm getting is 22%. So a call? But am I ever good here? It feels like one of the villains rock up with a boat pretty often.

Ranges I gave Villains on river:

BB: 88, 55, 22, A8s, A5s, A2s, A8o, A5o, A2o, Q9cc-QJcc, Q7cc, JTcc, J9cc, J7cc, T9cc, T7cc, 97cc, 76cc, 75cc, 65cc, 54cc, 43cc.

CO: 88, 55, 22, A8s, A5s, A2s, QJcc, QTcc, JTcc, T9cc, 76cc.
MW Pot with nut flush, board pairs, facing bet Quote
04-17-2021 , 09:27 AM
I guess my question would be, how tight would their ranges have to be in order to get your equity down to 22%? And would those ranges be realistic?

I think it would be reasonable to take the 2-pair hands away from the BB because of the river call. There is also a chance that the BB might have raised with his higher boats or quads.
MW Pot with nut flush, board pairs, facing bet Quote
05-18-2021 , 06:12 PM
I'm calling. You close the action. You've already got 18bb invested. It is a Big pot (127bb). 35 to you to see the hands. You've got the nut flush. Call. Let's see 'em.

Magnum
MW Pot with nut flush, board pairs, facing bet Quote

      
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