Quote:
Originally Posted by IceCrystal
I dont know how many players took seriously MT2R's teachings but I am one of them. Before november 1 I was a winning 100 NL player with 5-10 BB/100 (depending on the site). Since then I play only as a shortstack. My PTBB/100 is +1.4 at 200NL after 44k hands (+1.7 if I adjust with PokerEV). As I play 2x-3x as many tables as I did with fullstack, plus one level higher, plus getting more rakeback, my hourly rate at 200NL SSing is approximately the same as I had as a 100NL fullstack player.
Then I moved up to 400NL. I've read in this forum that this ss strategy works better at higher stakes because of the increased preflop aggression so I was hoping an even higher hourly rate. I played 6k hands and had only 1 marginal winner session (real, not PT session), all of the remaining were losers, with a cumulative -2.6 BB/100. According to PokerEV I run really bad, but the adjusted BB/100 is still only +0.2 so my hourly rate is way worse than I had at 200NL.
I know 6k is not too many hands but there are differences between 200NL and 400NL. At 200NL they call my shoves with Ax, KJ, even hands like QJ and 22 and sometimes SCs without even thinking too much. At 400NL the players are way better. When I shove after their PF raise they usually go into the tank and then call me with better hands and fold the worse. It means that my folding equity is higher, but looks like I dont know for sure how to exploit it correctly.
My postfop skills are fairly good for 100-200NL, but not as good as of the better 400NL regulars.
I run at 17/16 at 200NL, and 14/14 at 400NL. Postflop aggressions are 6.4/1.8/2.2.
MyTurn2Raise: 1. when you moved up to 400NL did you have similar problem? Did you have to change you game plan?
2. What is your opinion about my numbers?
honestly, I haven't played 400 to 2000 in over a year
I'm a bankroll nit and just cannot handle the swings
when you're a 1-2ptbb/100 winner, there are some horrific swings
I realize it's awful strategy on my part and I'm OK with not pushing myself to higher limits anymore
if your folding equity is higher at 400NL, you should be restealing with a larger range
if they are only calling with better hands, that is highly exploitable
newyorkjet's amazing tool will show how when it comes out
I've already done the math
for example, it's positive ev to push 55+, A8s+, A9o+ v a 30% open raiser that calls with all 30% on a 3BB open raise with a 15BB stack. However, if he only calls with the top 20% of those hands (the higher broadways and pairs), you can push 22+, A2s+, KTs+, A9o+, KJo+. If they call with less than that, it starts opening up the floodgates.
if you're restealing on a 30% open raiser, he should be calling you with worse hands or he risks being exploited
otherwise, he isn't opening 30%, which allows you to exploit the math for blind on blind situations
anecdotally, i've heard 400NL 6max is "baby soft"
seems like you're playing a bit too tight compared to the pro shortstackers at those levels that I've datamined
your postflop numbers look great
you are right... 400NL players are obviously tougher to beat