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Old 06-02-2020, 02:11 PM   #1
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 271
How to play River here

PokerStars - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: $17.75
UTG: $27.62
UTG+1: $29.28
MP: $21.46
MP+1: $8.80
Hero (CO): $25.00
BTN: $32.00
SB: $32.63

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has K A

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $1.85, BTN calls $1.85, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($4.55, 2 players) 4 K 3
Hero bets $2.18, BTN calls $2.18

Turn: ($8.91, 2 players) 2
Hero bets $4.26, BTN calls $4.26

River: ($17.43, 2 players) Q
[color=red]Hero ??

I don't think I beat much? block bet not doing much here either given the 3 bet pf flop?
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Old 06-02-2020, 04:53 PM   #2
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 146
Re: How to play River here

Would be pretty thin to bet, but ranges which cold-call a 3bet are usually pretty snug and in this particular case might provide you with value opportunities. If his preflop range is QQ-99, AQ, AJs, KQs (reasonable?) then betting v small might get a crying call from JJ-99 and AhQ perhaps? If he turns TT into a bluff and shoves then hats off to him
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Old 06-03-2020, 02:59 AM   #3
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 172
Re: How to play River here

Yeah, people don't cold-call three much, especially they don't without closing the action. It's conceivable he's calling a bit wider due to the fish MP+1. But still, regs don't like to cold-call 3bets, especially when they're not closing the action. He also sees you 3! shorty so your 3b range is likely de-polarized.

I think villain has very few natural bluffs OTR. And I totally second moxterite's point: Is he really good enough to turn TT into a bluff? I doubt it.

I think he also has very few hands to bluff-catch with. I don't think JJ-99 can call a third barrel because your range is so strong. 99/TT might not even call the second barrel unless it has a heart to go with the pair.

You can have AA, KK, AK (including AhKh), KQs with and without hearts, AhJh, AhQh, possibly QhQx. Sure, you can have a little bit of air as people tend to cbet more often than they should OOP (so double-barrel with something like AsJs). And you could potentially fire twice with something like JJ without a heart.
But overall, this board hits you pretty strongly. You got TPTK, overpairs, flushes, and sets. And little air.

So again, I don't think JJ-99 makes for a good bluff-catcher for villain. Perhaps, AhQ should bluff-catch but that's just two combos (the third combo, AhQh, has got you beat).

OTOH, he can have KQs without a flush and a few flushes which elect to sandbag OTT (e.g., AhQh, AhJh, and especially KhQh). He may have QQ. That's like 12 combos plus or minus.

Summing up, I think you can get value from AhQ (2 combos) and perhaps JJ/TT with a heart (6 combos total). That looks like it is less than 50% of his calling range, i.e., you can't bet for value. As AK isn't at the bottom of your range, it shouldn't be turned into a bluff, either.

IMO, the best play is therefore to x/f.

Last edited by itsatarp; 06-03-2020 at 03:20 AM.
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Old 06-03-2020, 06:46 AM   #4
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 271
Re: How to play River here

Thank you for your replies, i do think check fold here is maybe best option here after call on both calls pf/ flop and turn.
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