Against TAG players with a high AF I like to call and play cautiously, realizing that they should be and probably are playing most of their draws aggressively, esp in position on us.
If their AF is low and I don't think it's likely they are making big plays I just fold.
Pot odds is important to consider. So is minimum defense frequency.
I think it's appropriate to always bet cuz we are ahead most of the time, and I also like a small bet size considering we are targeting the A hi, weak pair, and draws for value.
Here is a hand I am just looking over that's similar:
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD
Poker Tracking Software
NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
SB ($7.15)
BB ($7.95)
HERO ($13.5)
CO ($10.45)
BTN ($9.66)
Dealt to Hero T
T
HERO Raises To $0.3 (Rem. Stack: 13.2),
CO Calls $0.3 (Rem. Stack: 10.15),
BTN Calls $0.3 (Rem. Stack: 9.36), SB Folds, BB Folds
Flop ($1.05) 5
7
8
HERO Bets $0.52 (Rem. Stack: 12.68), CO Folds,
BTN Calls $0.52 (Rem. Stack: 8.84)
Turn ($2.09) 5
7
8
2
HERO Bets $0.94 (Rem. Stack: 11.74),
BTN Raises To $8.84 (allin) (Rem. Stack: 0.00),
HERO Calls $7.9 (Rem. Stack: 3.84)
River ($19.77) 5
7
8
2
6
BTN shows 7
7
BTN wins $18.79
My analysis:
best case scenario i have 42% equity if villain is shoving combo draws and big flush draws
25% vs sets, two pair, and over cards
should estimate equity at 33%
pot odds: 1.5:1
min def freq: 33% (QQ+, 8d8h, 8d8c, 8h8c, 7h7s, 7h7c, 7s7c, 5d5s, 5d5c, 5s5c)
equity req: 40%
I do not have a solid enough read or enough equity to call vs what is most likely a strong re-raising range. TT is not top 33% of range, QQ is smallest pocket pair to call off with. Should fold.
What is the SPR? 9
What is the board? 8 hi coordinated rainbow
Who has a range advantage? no range advantage
Who has a capped range? villain
Who has an uncapped range? hero
Who benefits most from turns and rivers? villain, has more draws
Who is my opponent? loose agro decent villlain
Should I bet? Yes, I have a strong vulnarable hand need to bet for value and to protect.
How often would villain fold? 48%
How often would villain call? 52%
How much would he call? half pot
What would he call with? a hi, weak pairs, draws
Can I defend against bluff-raises? not comfortably
Should I check to induce? no, hand is too vulnerable board is too coordinated.
How often would villain stab? often
Should I go for a check-raise? no, not strong enough to check raise for value, too strong to check raise as a bluff.