River:(50.02 BB, 2 players) K Hero checks, CO bets 90.22 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 90.22 BB
Spoiler:
Hero shows Q A (Three of a Kind, Aces)
(Pre 47%, Flop 23%, Turn 16%) CO shows 9 9 (Full House, Nines full of Aces)
(Pre 53%, Flop 77%, Turn 84%) CO wins 224.46 BB
0.48 BB was deducted from the pot for the jackpot.
Sizings seem a little big. I don't understand the logic for checking river, you're still ahead of his range and have a lot of value vs Ax and he could hero call some 9x/PP.
However once you check and he jams 2x pot this is sort of a snap fold. You have a range advantage, even if you shouldn't check the nuts on the river his line is ridiculously strong, he has like maybe 2/3 combos of xxdd as a bluff and you don't beat any value bet when he goes for that sizing and 2.5% 3-bet pre means he has bunch of AK combos.
Yeah i'm betting 3bb on this flop, then 5 ott. That makes the river pot approximately 25bb instead of 50. Once you bet ott, what does v have? Most pairs would have folded by now. Maybe KK, QQ sticks around for 1 or 2 bets... I might still bet otr bc he almost surely doesn't have AK, KK, but i'm betting maybe 8bb to get a sticky pair to call because my bet sizes would more likely keep them in. Once he shoves, i'm done.