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Facing tempting river bet with QQ Facing tempting river bet with QQ

06-12-2020 , 03:21 PM
PokerStars - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (MP+1): $48.91
CO: $18.68
BTN: $25.78
SB: $22.29
BB: $27.55
UTG: $23.81
UTG+1: $26.49
MP: $50.69

Villain is 36/14 after 60 hands only, folds to 40% Cbet.

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has Q Q

UTG raises to $0.75, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.60, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.85

Flop: ($5.55, 2 players) 3 K 9
UTG checks, Hero bets $2.65, UTG calls $2.65

Turn: ($10.85, 2 players) K
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($10.85, 2 players) 6
UTG bets $5.18, ?????


I feel the bet of 26BB on the river is very tempting here given he is 36/14.
Just not sure if there are better situations for my money. getting 2-1 with 2nd or 3rd pair but villain is weak

Thoughts welcome
Facing tempting river bet with QQ Quote
06-14-2020 , 01:52 PM
Call ainec.

Do you think he really folds all non Kx otf? Obviously not. You should study this spot in detail using software. (or spend far more time using paper)

What do you think your range looks like otr? Looks like you missed to me or have a 2pr. Most all of your Kx are going to find a second bet I think ott or otr.

So out of his hands that are not Kx, pairs, floats, might he bet these? Very possibly. How does QQ fair vs that range? Crushes it. ainec. Another clue is that it's possibly the top of your range because you wont have many Kx that 3-bet, bet flop, check turn and check river. Careful with the "i'm at the top of my range logic" because this doesn't account for the fact that you're often trying to make assumptions from first principles and exploit your opponent.
Facing tempting river bet with QQ Quote
06-19-2020 , 01:07 PM
sorry for my ignorance, but what does since stand for?
Facing tempting river bet with QQ Quote
06-20-2020 , 04:54 PM
"all in, not even close" i.e. it's an obvious decision to bet everything.
Facing tempting river bet with QQ Quote
06-20-2020 , 11:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by grant2
"all in, not even close" i.e. it's an obvious decision to bet everything.
And it's not even close.

I normally wouldn't correct but we don't want people thinking about going all in every time they see that.
Facing tempting river bet with QQ Quote

      
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