Exploitative river jam. Is this too thin?
Join Date: Jun 2017
Posts: 26
25nl Ignition.
Effective stack 23.63. I open button with JTdd to 75c. Only BB calls.
Flop ($1.60) Q98ssx. Checks to me. I bet $1.30. BB calls.
Turn ($4.20) (Q98ss)-Kx. Checks to me. I bet $2.85. BB calls.
River ($9.90) (Q98K)ss-Qx BB leads for $3. I jam for $18.73 for value. He calls with QJ.
What do you think? Too thin?
Thanks for all the feedback!
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 36
Both of you have lots of 2-pair and trips in your ranges, but also a few full houses there. I think it's a mistake on his part calling here with trips, but the question is whether you have a good enough read on this player to know if they're often going to make this mistake.
Join Date: Nov 2017
Posts: 76
Yes it's thin, but from another point of view, his river donkbet gives you information that he shouldn't give you. In this spot, I think it's clear he's making this to prevent you from betting bigger. If you raise, JT should be the bottom of your value range obviously.
