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Concept of the Week #21: Shortstacks:  The Path To Exploitation Concept of the Week #21: Shortstacks:  The Path To Exploitation

06-22-2009 , 01:50 AM
Shortstackers. I hear more complaining about shortstackers than anything else in the poker world. Why? Because these people have found a mathematical loophole made possible by the current minimum buy-ins on poker sites. But why the hate? Apparently there is a loophole, why would one hate someone for doing something they could just as easily do themselves? Why doesn't everyone tick that “Buy in for the minimum” button as they sit down at their table? Why doesn't everyone use a simple hand chart, with certain stipulations, and grind 24 tables?

The answer is simple, and actually is the same as that old adage “you get out what you put in”. If you are using very minimal brain power, if you are simply following a hand chart, if you are mindlessly pressing buttons, then you have put in very little and in return, will make very little. A shortstackers winrate is severely capped given the simplicity of the strategy.

As it stands now, there are 3 main types of actual SS (the ~20bb variety)

The “nittynitty”: This is the 5/5, 4/4, 5/4 type that is most likely following a simple hand chart. The last time I drew up a SS chart without any variety it came out to 6/5.7, and that was pure robotic SS-ing. This player type doesn't think and most certainly doesn't use any sort of variation in play. They look at their cards and go “ok, I have this position, there are this many limpers, my chart says to do this” and they do it. These players are amaaaaaaaaaaazing to have on our left as we can powerhouse their blinds every single orbit and have an insane ROI/steal

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Why they suck for us? It really only sucks when they are on our right. They really don't light steal, so they just take up space and we can really never win an easy pot against them. They also plague tables, and lots of tables, because their strategy is so simple (basic FPP strategy really) and they play for long hours.
The “pro”: This is the good kind of SS'r. They tend to run stats like 7/7, 9/8, and almost never have a vpip of 10 or higher, and almost never have a vpip/pfr gap of more than 1. They have a bassline of actions (what hands to shove v a raise from every position, hands to squeeze with over how many callers, etc), but they also understand variation. They will sometimes light steal, they will also utilize SC's to their advantage. They make you call them a bit wider, which may get you tilty when you run into their top side a few times.

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Why they suck for us? Our edge against them is pretty small. They understand what they are doing, and will mix it up well. The big reason they suck is because they leech the games. They don't take much per session, but overtime, they are leeching a significant amount of BI's per level, especially when there are multiple of them. They become much more prevalent at 100NL and 200NL, but there are some at 50NL as well.
The “going2lose”: This is our most profitable SS'r to play against. They are terrible and have terrible stats to back it up. Why do they buy in in for 20bb? Because they fear losing money, have it as an “auto-option”, or try to use a chart and then go nuts. They tend to have a gap of 2+ in their stats, and most have vpips of like 11+. It is very standard to see them like 12/4, 19/6, or even 9/5. They have wide ranges, call shoves poorly, go absolutely insane in positional pots, and just make endless mistakes. Do not avoid them, just adjust your calling and re-shove ranges appropriately.

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Why they suck for us? Well they don't actually suck for us! They are profitable for us so long as your range adaptation is solid.
What Can I Do To Improve Against Them!?

There is an awesome program called “poker stove” that I went over how to use in this video. However, there is another awesome program called “All-In Expert” that has made it very easy to figure out not only your exact range of shoving/calling (given factors like stack sizes, opening ranges, calling ranges, etc), but also the exact profitability of each hand.

But how do we know their ranges? Start thinking about it. I have actually had students before that had trouble against SS's, so I told them to spend a week creating a SS-ing strategy and then we reviewed it. Amazingly enough, this simple exercise (that took maybe 2-3hrs for them), made it so they understood every range of a SS'r, how position changed their ranges, and most importantly, how to counter it. After spending maybe a total of 4hrs on everything (doing the work themselves, working it out with me, etc) they had it so they never had a tough decision against a SS'r. Now, if you are reading this paper to figure out exact ranges, I apologize...Just consider this super beneficial homework =)

Also, think logically while playing. Of course, it is easiest to play against a nittynitty, the ranges are concrete and they play super straight forward (in fact, you could probably find the EXACT chart they are using if you explore the internet). Logically, we know that if we raise TT UTG to 3bb, folds to him OTB and he shoves for 20bb, we know his range is super strong, probably TT+/AK (and in all actuality, it is probably QQ+/AK ~JJ). If we pokerstove it, we get 34/66. We know we are getting 23:17, so we need 42.5%ee to call. We have 34, so we cannot call. This is simple math.

But what if that OTB player was a “going2lose” player who was 18/9. We think his range is wider (because it is) and probably 66+/KQo+/AJo+. Against this range, TT is 53/47, so we would call. This is logical and mathematical. The good, though most people view is oppositely, is that SS's force you to work through these math issues, which in turn makes you much stronger in other facets of the game. One of the easiest strategies I can suggest for ranging is to figure out a nittynitty's range, and then expand from there based on looseness. That should help quite a bit.

Also, here is just a basic look at/tutorial of All-In Expert:



This is what we would call a shove with. I the pot is 24.5 because I assume that I raised to 3bb, the blinds make up 1.5bb, and the SS shoves for 20bb. I designate his range, which in this case I said was 99+/AT+, and some mixup hands like 22-55, AT, etc



This is what AIE says I should call with. If you were using the program, you could hover your mouse over and hand and get the ROI on it and see exactly how profitable it is



This is what we would want to shove with. I assume the SS'r raised to 3.5bb, there are 1.5 in blinds (so 5bb is the current pot). I assume I am not in a blind, so I would have to call 3.5bb, and if I shove, the SS'r would have to call 16.5bb. I say his current range is a steal range of 30% of hands (this is not for a nittynitty player obvi), and that he will call very wide (this is certainly a “going2lose” calling range in certain spots).



This is what AIE says is our profitable shove range. Notice, this does not take into account other players, and really, you should only 3b in this spot to like 14bb to ensure we don't lose too much if/when other players wake up with really strong hands


“"Dieting: A system of starving yourself to death so you can live a little longer."
Jan Murray ”


What the hell does a dieting quote have to do with shortstackers? Your bankroll is the diet of a shortstacker. He is mathematically entitled to it. You can work hard so you have a small edge against them, but it takes work. So how do you stop feeding them? DON'T PLAY WITH THEM!

It is very simple. If there are shortstackers at your table, don't play. Now this may seem like an idealogical statement (especially for those who do loathe shortstackers), but it is possible to put yourself in better spots. Table selection rules involving shortstackers:

1.)NEVER sit at a table with more than 3 more shortstackers
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tables with too many SS's are terrible for our WR. Our WR is not very high against a SS in the first place, so when you add more of them, it only gets worse. Leave tables if they get invested...the fewer the better, always
2.)There is a huge difference between 20bb and 60bb people.
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DO NOT confuse them. 20bb people are SS's. 60bb buy in short, but are terrible for a whole different set of reasons. You cannot use the same strategy against each, so don't even try to.
3.)Deepstack tables don't allow shortstackers
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Although these tables tend to be a bit more reg filled, it is much better than sitting with 5 SS's
So going full circle to answer the original question of “why does everyone hate shortstackers?”...the answer is simple. Because people are too lazy to figure out how to work around them. Too lazy to figure out the simple strategy and hand ranges to call/shove with to beat them. Too lazy to solidify their own game against them, that, oddly enough, would eliminate them. So people don't hate shortstackers, they hate the work (albeit very little in reality) they have to do to beat them. Don't be lazy, put in the work and time to make these shortstackers not only profitable for yourself, but to eventually rid of them. Enjoy and good luck with your work and winning flips!

*SS*
Concept of the Week #21: Shortstacks:  The Path To Exploitation Quote
06-22-2009 , 02:03 AM
Excellent.

Is there a program I can d/l to help with winning flips?
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06-22-2009 , 02:32 AM
Very informative. First time I've heard of AIE. Downloading it now.
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06-22-2009 , 02:38 AM
Nice article
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06-22-2009 , 04:26 AM
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06-22-2009 , 04:59 AM
great article. gonna read it again.

Btw. do you use tools like this on the same computer you play poker on? My bankroll must be waaay smaller than yours, but i'm kinda protection nit.
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06-22-2009 , 06:02 AM
Sick article, +111
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06-22-2009 , 06:05 AM
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Originally Posted by CBukowski
great article. gonna read it again.

Btw. do you use tools like this on the same computer you play poker on? My bankroll must be waaay smaller than yours, but i'm kinda protection nit.
thank you all so far for the kind words (or in the case of digger, symbols =) )

i only use big name software (pokerstove, flopzilla, and AIE). i dont DL random junk, and if i do, it test it first on my random computer
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06-22-2009 , 06:33 AM
Thanks for pointing out "All In Expert" it's really great software.

I'm assuming most Short Stacker's that are in the 5/4 stat range use a chart like this:
EDIT: google "pokerstrategy short stack strategy handout"

So their 3-Bet range should be JJ+ and AK.

And so what I've learned via the various software that when you open to $0.75 or $1 and they push all-in you need 38.5%-42.5% equity. But vs their range AKo is about 39% and AKs is about 43%.

Should we be really folding AKo vs Short Stacker 3-Bet's?

Should we be really taking a 1%-3% edge with AKs?
(Maybe somebody could direct me to a past thread about should we take very small edges discussion.)

Last edited by kinghyrule; 06-22-2009 at 06:47 AM. Reason: semi-wrong stats
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06-22-2009 , 06:44 AM
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Originally Posted by kinghyrule
Thanks for pointing out "All In Expert" it's really great software.

I'm assuming most Short Stacker's that are in the 5/4 stat range use a chart like this:
EDIT: google "pokerstrategy short stack strategy handout"

So their 3-Bet range should be JJ+ and AK.

And so what I've learned via the various software that when you open to $0.75 or $1 and they push all-in you need 40%-42.5% equity. But vs their range AKo is about 39% and AKs is about 43%.

Should we be really folding AKo vs Short Stacker 3-Bet's?

Should we be really taking a 1%-3% edge with AKs?
(Maybe somebody could direct me to a past thread about should we take very small edges discussion.)


so we have a 3%ROI with AKo, and 11%ROI with AKs. def a call

Also, the second you can add in ANY amount of variation (even a sneeze of AQ), this is an even snappier call. thin edges maybe thin, but its still +EV
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06-22-2009 , 06:44 AM
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Originally Posted by *Split*
They have a bassline of actions
Freudian slip.

Good article.
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06-22-2009 , 06:55 AM
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Originally Posted by venice10
Freudian slip.

Good article.
lol, and thnk u

i decided to do this one differently than ive done previous 2p2 articles. this was really supposed to be "here is some info, here are some thoughts, here is how you can get your answer...now go get it"

hopefully people do the work and watch it pay off for themselves =)
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06-22-2009 , 08:45 AM
Does allin expert use rake in its calculations?

Last edited by Joopjan; 06-22-2009 at 09:01 AM.
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06-22-2009 , 08:47 AM
A pleasure to read

Haven't really thought so much about SS's because I try to avoid them as much as possible (with the exception for having a nit SS to my left) and there arent really that many good ones down where I play. I will however need to know how to play against them and your article got me start thinking about it. Thanks!
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06-22-2009 , 08:53 AM
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Originally Posted by Joopjan
Does allin expert handle use rake in its calculations?
i want to say no. if you are concerned about it, then subtract about 1.5bb
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06-22-2009 , 09:26 AM
Excellent post, im glad someone had the guts to make these lazy 2+2'ers do some work Thanks alot for the great info.
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06-22-2009 , 11:39 AM
Great post, *Split*. I take exception to the last paragraph, but the point of it is valid: these guys are easily beatable if you choose to play with them. Just do the thinking, and number crunching, that is necessary to exploit them

Because this is the micro forum, I think another point needs to be emphasized: There are basically no good short stackers. There are very few (I actually can't recall ever having seen even one) who will not deviate from the basic strategies. This is relevant because as you pointed out, if they will deviate from basic strategies as you outlined them, your calls are more profitable, and the All In Expert calculations become conservative estimates of your EV.
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06-22-2009 , 12:11 PM
Great post. I agree with mpethy. I have really only come across two good short stackers at FTP at the micros, and they are both SS NL400 right now. There are a few of the nitty-nittys that make a decent profit, but one thing to note. Of most of the "regs" in my DB, out of the top 50 (based on the number of hands), only 3 non-SS are showing a profit. So while SS are generally not good, the reg full stack players are not good either.

I follow the never sit at a table with more than 3 SS, but I consider anyone with a stack less than 50bb a ss for this rule.

For the lazy person on this forum, let me give one quick way to improve your play against most SS at the micros. They make money because people fold too much to them, so if YOU CHOOSE to enter a pot with them, make sure you have a hand you will not fold to them but let them think they have FE on the flop.
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06-22-2009 , 02:00 PM
Not sure if applicable in the micros but a favorite note of mine is to jot down squeeze hands of shortie squeezers....there are a few at 400NL. VERY profitable to limp behind a fish while holding (TT+, AJs+, AQ+) if one of these guys is behind you.
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06-22-2009 , 02:30 PM
All the SS ive played against have been pretty bad. Ive seen so many bad preflop AIs with A10 type of hands and not JJ+. Their logic seems to be "I better just call with aces preflop so I dont scare him/her away." But when it comes to other non-pair hands they shove OTT just to make sure they will get to see all the remaining cards. Quite easy to put these players on a hand.

Great text, Split, I will read this again and again. Your articles are always good =)
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06-22-2009 , 03:42 PM
Just open your own deep tables and you don't have to deal with them.
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06-22-2009 , 03:48 PM
Brilliant Post.Its pretty easy to adjust to micro-limits short stackers because they are non-existing good SS'er in micros.Pretty much make a note when you see their showdown hands against other opponents and work out their ranges in certain spots and positions and tadaaaa,Big Edge against the nittynitty and 2lose type of SSer.

Pretty much harder to play in a 100bb tables 25NL and below on Stars,therefore its good to seat select.50NL and above is where table-selecting against them increase your WR to buy a nice shirt every now and then.
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06-22-2009 , 03:55 PM
Thanks *Split*, informative article. This CotW, along with the stickies on shortstacks, should give anyone the ability to determine SS ranges and crush them.
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06-22-2009 , 05:44 PM
Thanks, brilliant stuff.
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06-22-2009 , 07:42 PM
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Originally Posted by KrazyIgnatz
Great text, Split, I will read this again and again. Your articles are always good =)
thank you, and thnx everyone else that commented thus far =)
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