AA with a flush draw versus strong line - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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AA with a flush draw versus strong line

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12-09-2018 , 07:51 PM

adamzerner

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2017 Posts: 126

NL2 online Las Vegas WSOP
Hero AsAd MP

Preflop
Limp, I raise, BB calls, call

Flop
Ts9s5s
Check, check, I bet, raise, fold, call

I think I'm probably against two pair or better here. I have the As so Villain doesn't have the nut flush draw, and there are lots of possible sets and flushes. But I think I have to call with the nut flush draw and overpair. Or maybe not.

Turn
(Ts9s5s)-5c
Villain open-shoves 3/4 pot. Hero???

I decided to call, but I'm not sure if that's the right play because I think Villain is on two pair or better the vast majority of the time.

Spoiler:

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12-09-2018 , 09:58 PM

AFCBeer

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 308

If you are putting villain on pair, the only realistic 2 pair they can have is T9. With the board pairing on the turn, you are now ahead.

Since you still have the nut flush draw and its only a 3/4 pot call, then calling is a no brainer.

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12-09-2018 , 11:46 PM

adamzerner

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2017 Posts: 126

Quote:

If you are putting villain on pair, the only realistic 2 pair they can have is T9. With the board pairing on the turn, you are now ahead.

Ah, right.

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Since you still have the nut flush draw and its only a 3/4 pot call, then calling is a no brainer.

With a 3/4 pot bet, it gives me 7:3 pot odds, and with 7:3 pot odds you need 30% equity to break even. With a nut flush draw you have 9 outs to the flush, and via the rule of 4 and 2, about 18% equity if those are your only outs. So the nut flush draw alone is not enough to make this a call. The question is whether Villain has enough other stuff in his range to bump up my equity and make it a call.

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12-10-2018 , 12:14 PM

ionutd

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 13,624

bet sizes would be nice but nh

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12-12-2018 , 04:57 PM

ArtyMcFly

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 13,256

Stacks and bet-sizes would be very useful. Villain sometimes has a boat (which is very bad for you!), but he can have flushes and worse hands too.

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12-12-2018 , 07:51 PM

K40cheddar

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 2,736

Call. 5 is a good card for you and you arent folding anyway.

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