No Limit Hold'em $0,01/$0,02
PokerStars
8 players
Créée avec pokercopilot.com : HUD de Poker pour Mac et Windows

Stacks:
UTG - UTG ($2,00)
UTG+1 - UTG+1 ($5,01)
MP - MP ($3,02)
MP2 - MP2 ($1,97)
CO - CO ($2,00)
BTN - BTN ($5,39)
SB - Hero ($3,17)
BB - BB ($3,26)

Preflop: ($0,11, 8 players) Hero is SB with A Q
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0,15, 1 fold, BTN calls $0,15, Hero raises to $0,50, BB raises to $1,00, 2 folds, Hero calls $0,50

Flop: 4 7 A ($2,38, 2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $2,25 (all-in), Hero calls $2,16 (all-in), Uncalled bet of $0,09 returned to BB

Turn: 3 ($6,70, 2 players, 1 all-in)

River: 9 ($6,70, 2 players, 1 all-in)

Total Pot: $6,70
Hero shows A Q (a pair of Aces)
BB shows T T (a pair of Tens)

Hero wins $6,47


So, in this position I am in unknown territory in terms of the other players in the pot (less than 50hands for the most part). My thinking, I have a decent hand but I am out of position. Since, I don't wanna get involved in a 3way pot, potentially 4, I decided to squeeze and tried win the pot right away. If they call, I have equity unless their range is only AK, AA, KK which I would doubt in late position.

The thing is, when the BB 5 bet here, what should I do ? Call or Shove ? I don't feel like folding is really an option with this hand and the SPR.


Also, I check on the flop because, even tho I have top pair, I am still worried about AK, AA. After reviewing the hand tho, I realize that they are not many combos of AA and AK left. If he shoves with KK this is great because he is crushed.


Final thought, when he shoves here I do think that he is most likely behind than ahead. Why you ask ? Why would you shove on the flop and take risk that the opponent folds if you have the best hand a.k.a AK or AA ?

What are your thoughts on this hand ?
Do you agree/disagree with my thinkinng ?
Is squeezing more profitable than calling in this spot ?
Should I CBet the Flop or should I check to induce a mistake ?

it's a 4b pot
squeeze bigger 14-16bb, ship pre is prob better vs short stacked fish but calling the small 4b is fine as well
c/c flop

The thought process should start with what his 5bet range looks like. A min5bet gives him a great price on a bluff. Even vs. ultra tight QQ+/AKo, you still have 28.6% equity so you can't fold preflop. If we give him JJ/TT (reasonable for him to go with it vs. a sb 3bet vs. late position + flat). you have 36.75% equity.

The pot being 2.30 going to the flop if you flat signals that he's going to commit to a pot-sized bet on the flop and stick the rest in. If you shove preflop, you get stacked by AK/QQ+ or flip with JJ/TT and fold out the A5s type hands.

I think go to the flop assuming a 100+ bb pot is too big and that he feels his only play would be to shove with his entire range in that spot.

So you anticipate checking flop to get about ~2:1 on a call/needing 33%. Vs. TT+, AQs+, you have 25% equity on a random low flop. You have 32% equity if he does this with A5s/A4s/A3s always.

If he doesn't 5bet here as a bluff, I'm not sure what to do. You're priced in to call preflop vs. an ultra nutted range. But then you wouldn't be able to call a likely flop shove, so if he only has TT+/AK, I think fold pre?

High variance spot for sure. Interesting how the 7x bb open from MP+BTN flat creates this situation where now you could justify playing for it with AQ on a 150bb stack depth.

Thinking on it more: I think it makes sense to treat this spot a one-street all-in situation if we anticipate a flop shove. So treat his 5bet like a shove: you have to call 2.67/(.30+.50+2.67+2.67) = 43.4% equity...

For you to have that much equity he'd have to be as wide as: TT+,AQs+,A5s-A3s,KQs,AQo+. I think call is ok since you have the price to call preflop. In reality he might not be willing to pull the trigger or feel he can check it down vs. AK if you both miss. I don't think you can fold to a flop shove though with 50bb invested. There's also the 'intangible' benefit of disincentivizing 5bet bluffs from him or the other players in the future, even if you run into the nuts. So there's some EV there.