PokerStars - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: $60.43 (VPIP: 19.48, PFR: 15.71, 3Bet Preflop: 7.18, Hands: 506)
UTG+1: $90.17 (VPIP: 20.41, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 5.95, Hands: 197)
MP: $43.00 (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 17.86, 3Bet Preflop: 15.38, Hands: 28)
MP+1: $50.00 (VPIP: 17.01, PFR: 12.71, 3Bet Preflop: 4.47, Hands: 1,442)
Hero (CO): $74.11
BTN: $50.00 (VPIP: 23.26, PFR: 16.28, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 45)
SB: $39.50 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
BB: $50.00 (VPIP: 9.38, PFR: 3.13, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has J
J
UTG raises to $1.50,
fold,
fold,
fold,
Hero calls $1.50,
fold,
fold, BB calls $1.00
Villain has an 8% opening range from UTG and folds to 60% of 3bets. I don't think that 3betting accomplishes much apart from folding out worse hands (with the possible exception of AK) so I choose to use my position to flat with JJ
Flop: ($4.75, 3 players) A
J
Q
BB checks,
UTG bets $3.01,
Hero calls $3.01,
fold
Similar logic to pre-flop, except that now my hand is a lot more invunerable. My plan is to let villain keep firing since he's likely to have a lot of 1 and two pair hands here.
Turn: ($10.77, 2 players) 6
UTG bets $6.82,
Hero calls $6.82
I considered raising here as well but decided to take the chance that I'd earn more from a river bet then I would be raising and getting him to fold.
River: ($24.41, 2 players) 3
UTG bets $49.10 and is all-in,
This was....unexpected. AA and QQ fit his play perfectly. Even with the over-bet I still only need 40% equity to make the call +EV Do I even beat anything anymore?