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When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL

11-10-2018 , 04:43 PM
Ignition 50NL

NL Holdem $0.50(BB)
CO ($103.69) [VPIP: 26.3% | PFR: 19.7% | AGG: 27.6% | 3-Bet: 9.7% | Hands: 76]
BTN ($35.44) [VPIP: 48.6% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 35.3% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 36]
SB ($99.97) [VPIP: 37.3% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 38.2% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 76]
BB ($67.31) [VPIP: 21.9% | PFR: 19.2% | AGG: 48.1% | 3-Bet: 12.9% | Hands: 76]
UTG ($66.63) [VPIP: 22.5% | PFR: 21.1% | AGG: 40% | 3-Bet: 4% | Hands: 71]
HERO ($50.73) [VPIP: 28.3% | PFR: 21.9% | AGG: 38.6% | 3-Bet: 9.2% | Hands: 45062]

Dealt to Hero: T Q

UTG Folds, HERO Raises To $1.50, CO Folds, BTN Calls $1.50, SB Folds, BB Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [9.05 effective]
Flop ($3.75): 3 Q 5
HERO Bets $2.50 (Rem. Stack: 46.73), BTN Calls $2.50 (Rem. Stack: 31.44)

Turn ($8.75): 3 Q 5 J
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $4.37 (Rem. Stack: 27.07), HERO Calls $4.37 (Rem. Stack: 42.36)

River ($17.49): 3 Q 5 J 5

Against a 48/0, is a smallish turn bet good here? As played, what's your plan for the river?
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-10-2018 , 04:52 PM
PF is loose but okay at some frequency. Check flop, I'd bet AQ/KQ but QT is too weak and also you block TT which you want him to have. As played, xc turn for sure and xc river.
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-10-2018 , 04:57 PM
Normally I would fold but I'm targeting the 48/0 on the BTN, and I'm figuring that the other players aren't suuuuper active.
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-10-2018 , 05:07 PM
with 46 hands and him having a vpip of 48% you should have some postflop stats on him. WTSD, W$SD, does he bet when checked? does he call a lot on the flop ?

against a station i prefer bet, bet, bet in general...

edit:

FYI i just noticed the reg in the BB... He will probably attack your open alot once the BTN flats, so watch out for that
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-10-2018 , 07:24 PM
I start with a flop check. I'm so used to doing that that I'm a bit lost when you go with the bet flop, check-call turn line. There's very little in my range that uses that line. I hate it because it means I'm check-guessing the river.
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-10-2018 , 08:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnRusty
Normally I would fold but I'm targeting the 48/0 on the BTN, and I'm figuring that the other players aren't suuuuper active.


It’s not great to change your strategy significantly here vs fish. Playing subpar cards OOP is going to get you stacked


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-10-2018 , 10:56 PM
We could easily be valueing (sp?) ourselves postflop. V could easily be under 3betting and we could be crushed. Just check flop and with this runout if V is betting only half pot I would just call down tbh.
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-11-2018 , 12:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zuko
with 46 hands and him having a vpip of 48% you should have some postflop stats on him. WTSD, W$SD, does he bet when checked? does he call a lot on the flop ?

against a station i prefer bet, bet, bet in general...

edit:

FYI i just noticed the reg in the BB... He will probably attack your open alot once the BTN flats, so watch out for that
35.3 WWSF (6/17), don't have WTSD, W$SD. Should I have those on my HUD? I guess it's probably about time I take a look at my HUD stats..
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-11-2018 , 12:54 PM
FWIW river went x/x and he mucked
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote
11-12-2018 , 08:42 AM
I kinda have way different approach to these spots. Given his stats villain is huge station and I want to benefit from it as much as possible. He's not giving any Q, any FD, any J, maybe not TT/99, J takes him off from QJ combos that beat us. All we are worried about is AQ/KQ, sets and random 5. And even 70/0 stations tend to raise AA/KK pre. I pot flop and turn here, (with better kicker I might do some overbetting) and probably check OTR or bet very smallish, like 25% psb.
When to pump the breaks vs. fish: 50NL Quote

      
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