400NL - Top 2 pair facing river donk bet - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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400NL - Top 2 pair facing river donk bet

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07-21-2020 , 11:52 PM

Tbirdx24

old hand

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,630

Hero is generally new to the game, but the feeling is it's a weaker table than your average 400NL game (took place on PPPoker in a private club).

4 limpers, including villain in MP2
Hero limps behind with Q

BB checks

Flop (Pot 18): 92Q
Villain leads for 22, Hero raises to 66, villain calls (everyone else folds)

Turn (Pot 150): 92Q7
Villain checks, Hero bets 90, villain calls

River (Pot 330): 92Q76
Villain leads 165

My question: What type of player does villain have to be to turn this from a call into a fold, and vice-a-versa? At the time, my read on villain was a weak one and was proven wrong later in the game anyway. I'm more curious to learn how to better evaluate this specific spot against different types of villains. Thanks!

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07-22-2020 , 01:29 PM

apricotjello

adept

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 852

ya don’t limp behind with q9o

i guess we’re on the button (hard to tell but we act after Mp2) but i still hate it.

i’d also bet turn bigger, 60% seems a bit small for such a wet board and you’re not running into QQ/99 (both of which you block and the action pre eliminates) almost ever here. 22 is a possibility, as are strong pair + draw or combo draw hands.

as played you’re pretty capped OTR: you have weak flushes, 22, and two pair in your range (99/QQ are mandatory raises pre, along with most AXss hands). could go either way, this sort of river lead is player dependent and never balanced.

Last edited by apricotjello; 07-22-2020 at 01:39 PM.

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