Hi Everyone, I usually post 5NL hands but after 25k hands of run-good, and a couple of tournament cashes I've now got 30 buy-ins for 10NL. I definitely need to work on my game to sustain this so I'm going to start posting a handful of thoughtful spots after my sessions. Thank you in advance to anyone that replies

PS - I've included my own analysis for each play and would welcome constructive feedback

Spot One - Call or Fold to Turn Shove with over pair?

Villain stats are 47/25 after 85 hands. He is raising any suited connector or pocket pair from UTG. I run the spot through Flopzilla and out of 38 possible combos (65s/67s/87s/T9s/77-QQ/) 26 of them have me beat and 12 are OESD. So my equity is 42% and my price is 35%. Does that mean this is a profitable call?




Turning 77 into a triple-barrel bluff

Ok, so villains stats are 12/12 after 60 hands. I think a call in the CO is standard here. When villain doesn't CBet I am confident he doesn't have the K and I bet to deny equity. On reflection my bet sizing is terrible, but what do you think about this bet? If I check what is the plan for the turn? Anyway, I continue the story with the turn, again the bet size is small. This is where I really turn my hand into a bluff (continue the story of AK/KQ/67s/22 all of which are in my PF call range).

When he calls again I have to put him on a pair between 88-QQ so I decide to complete the story on the river. I bet 70% pot and expect him to fold most of the time. What do you think?



Hand 3 - Call pot sized C-Bet in 3Bet pot with Top Pair 2nd Kicker


Initial raiser has stats of 76/41 after 50 hands is raising every pot and most opponents are trying to isolate when in position. HJ 3bet % is 3.3, and I decide to call with KQ from small blind. I guess this will encourage the maniac initial raiser to call with a very wide range. Does this help my equity? On reflection I prefer folding this spot. Anyway, it folds around to 3bettor who has a pot sized bet left and he jams (I expect him to CBet 100% of 3Bet range) and any smaller than pot size would leave him committed anyway. I reluctantly call with KQ. What do you think of pre-flop call?

#3, hate the pre-flop call.

1st is good, this fish will have plenty of hands you beat even 99 and 8x, 2nd is ok but not super profitable. He will check Kx and you don't rep much making it not too hard to call you down depending on his tendencies. 3rd is bad, you are investing way too much to see flop vs fish, you will get owned by MP, and you are OOP.

I would like to say something about hand 3
Preflop is standard
Flop is situational on your oponent but if i would bet i would 1/3 pot its a dry and static board as a default size here
Turn i would check 100% of the time here
You also make the pot bigger that way with a mediocre hand here
You thought he had not many sixes and he did not have a king
One general rule be carefull taking conclusions about opponents to fast im not saying you are wrong but dont judge someones game to fast
If i would bet on the river and i dont think he has a king i would overbet and put him in a though spot

I think you're confusing hand 3 and 2.

Haha you are right
Better do it now than on the tables
But do you agree or disagree and why would like to know?

Betting small on the flop will keep your opponents range way wider and if you start potting/overbetting turn/river you are though to play against

I have also some hands interesting hands i wanna post but searching in your hand history on some sites is not easy

Hand 1: Pre is agreeable. The shove from V is unexpected. I was just reading about a lot of players who hit mid to low pairs with 4 to a flush on the flop and shove to try and make their opponents fold. Obviously he could only be 3 to a flush here and it feels like he's trying to buy the pot with his chip stack. Maybe he has 66 or 56s and we're in great shape. But he could have such a wide range that I think I'm folding. Let our $3 go and we'll get it back in a better spot.

Hand 2: Pre is fine. The flop is fine. When he check/calls, he could likely have a K, 22, or 66. Really dry board, so if he missed he's likely folding. If he has a pocket pair, he may call. But a flopped set worries us and so does a KJ, KQ, KT even. Turn is a 6. I think we should check it back here. He check/calls again. Now we should be concerned we're being slow played. On the river, if he leads, we fold. But he checks and I think we should check back the river. K doesn't help us. And if he has a Kx, then he just made a boat and is potentially check-raising. Let's check back and see what he's holding and limit our potential damage.

Hand 3: I think we should fold pre. We've seen a raise and a re-raise and we're OOP. On the flop, we've now made top pair. Initial raiser folds, re-raiser shoves. He's likely holding AA, AK, or KK, and we're in trouble. I understand calling, but we should have never been in this hand.