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10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg 10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg

10-12-2017 , 05:35 PM
Haven't been around for a while so apologies if I'm not following best practice with the post format; curious how others would play this hand. I only have about 5,000 hands in by now and this villain is basically always there - he's probably playing 10-ish hours every day.

$0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (UTG+1): 190.7 BB
Villian: 166.3 BB (VPIP: 23.84, PFR: 18.05, 3Bet Preflop: 8.93, Hands: 2,374)

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T T

fold, Hero raises to 2.8 BB, Villian raises to 9.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 6.7 BB

Flop: (20.5 BB, 2 players) T 3 K
Hero checks, Villian bets 10.5 BB, Hero calls 10.5 BB

Turn: (41.5 BB, 2 players) A
Hero checks, Villian bets 21 BB, Hero raises to 82.1 BB, Villian raises to 146.3 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 64.2 BB

Thoughts on this line?
10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg Quote
10-12-2017 , 05:39 PM
looks like he had AK or AA imo. I probably would of just called the turn
10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg Quote
10-12-2017 , 06:09 PM
You can't raise for value here because you have 48.6% equity vs his continuing range of ak, kk+, qjs. Unless he is terrible he is snap folding AQ. A good reg will fold AK here as well vs another reg because you cannot call for a chop at best AND you are getting a terrible price given that a high frequency river jam. 10nl regs very rarely have any bluffs here at all in your position, even at higher stakes people struggle to be find enough bluffs since you need to turn like JJ or something into a bluff and who even knows if you can generate enough FE facing a double barrel to even bother. You should be folding after he reraises you.
10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg Quote
10-12-2017 , 06:20 PM
So is the appropriate line here bet flop, check-call, check-call/fold??

Seems like missing a lot of value from the times he has AK? Also, is QJs a reasonable hand for a 3-bet pf? I personally didn't think QJ was even a possibility. . . adding that to the range changes the calculus quite a bit.
10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg Quote
10-13-2017 , 02:37 AM
What's his 3bet PF %?
10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg Quote
10-13-2017 , 06:30 AM
I bought myself CREV the other day and build a model for it (for my training purposes)

Under the assumption, that he will bet OTR again (2P+ and 65 % TP)

c/c, c/c and c/c would be the most EV line.

At least in my beginner model :-)
10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg Quote
10-13-2017 , 07:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brussels Sprout
What's his 3bet PF %?

~9%
10NL Middle Set vs. 3-bet Reg Quote

      
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