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0 NL Line check, good or bad fold river? 0 NL Line check, good or bad fold river?

06-15-2019 , 06:39 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem $1(BB)
SB ($19.09) [VPIP: 40% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 50% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 6]
BB ($100.5) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 25% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 4]
UTG ($60.85) [VPIP: 42.9% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 28.6% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 7]
HERO ($107.17) [VPIP: 26.4% | PFR: 14.6% | AGG: 24.8% | 3-Bet: 4.9% | Hands: 1887]
MP1 ($99) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 4]
MP2 ($47.35) [VPIP: 28.6% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 7]
HJ ($103.03) [VPIP: 14.3% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 7]
CO ($60.3) [VPIP: 28.6% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 25% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 7]
BTN ($74.9) [VPIP: 14.3% | PFR: 14.3% | AGG: 100% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 7]

Dealt to Hero: J Q

UTG Calls $1, HERO Raises To $4, MP1 Folds, MP2 Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds, UTG Calls $3

Hero SPR on Flop: [5.98 effective]
Flop ($9.5): J T 2
UTG Checks, HERO Bets $4.52 (Rem. Stack: 98.65), UTG Calls $4.52 (Rem. Stack: 52.33)

Turn ($18.54): J T 2 T
UTG Checks, HERO Bets $8.81 (Rem. Stack: 89.84), UTG Calls $8.81 (Rem. Stack: 43.52)

River ($36.16): J T 2 T 7
UTG Bets $19.77 (Rem. Stack: 23.75), HERO Folds
0 NL Line check, good or bad fold river? Quote
06-15-2019 , 09:05 PM
I'd probably check back turn, you don't really have much that can get multi-street value.

Like the previous hand, this kind of looks like more of a c/c, if that. On the river you need to be good about 26% of the time to break even. Which sounds like it might not be so bad. The first problem is, other than a bluff, I don't know what you beat. The second problem is that there isn't a whole lot villain can be bluffing here with. Maybe AQs/KQs? In either case, there's definitely more value than bluffs in villain's range. These kind of villain lines are usually a strong value hand that he doesn't want checked back on the river or rarely complete air.
0 NL Line check, good or bad fold river? Quote
06-16-2019 , 12:41 AM
Thanks. I was a bit more aggressive in this session that I normally am. Thanks for the analysis
0 NL Line check, good or bad fold river? Quote

      
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