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Old 04-17-2019, 09:46 PM   #22851
gamboneee
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

i meant for that 50 coming my way
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:33 PM   #22852
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

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Originally Posted by gamboneee View Post
they cant both be alive past ro8 so i would say even higher than 8:1 could be even
I don't think that matters - two Terrans in that part of the bracket increases the chance that a Terran emerges from those 4 players. It works out the same (50% Terran advancing from their sub-bracket, times 25% chance their sub-bracket produces the champion).
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Old Yesterday, 09:34 AM   #22853
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

What an epic day!

maru vs stats
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I watched all games and all the series were entertaining, especially last one

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about results:
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Old Yesterday, 01:12 PM   #22854
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

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Originally Posted by goofyballer View Post
I don't think that matters - two Terrans in that part of the bracket increases the chance that a Terran emerges from those 4 players. It works out the same (50% Terran advancing from their sub-bracket, times 25% chance their sub-bracket produces the champion).
but based on that math, the ability to have 2 in ro4 would be double. having 2 terrans not mirror is the same 50%, but having 2 chances is more than 25
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Old Yesterday, 02:19 PM   #22855
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

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but based on that math, the ability to have 2 in ro4 would be double. having 2 terrans not mirror is the same 50%, but having 2 chances is more than 25
Say that Maru and Gumiho were on complete opposite ends of the bracket.

Chances Maru is in finals: 1/8
Chances Gumiho is in finals: 1/8

Chance Maru AND Gumiho make finals (100% Terran victory): 1/8 * 1/8 = 1/64
Chance neither Maru nor Gumiho make finals (0% Terran victory): 7/8 * 7/8 = 49/64
Chance that exactly one of Maru/Gumiho make finals (50% Terran victory): 1 - the other two possibilities above = 14/64

So, 1/64 + (0.5 * 14/64) = 8/64 = 1/8.

No matter where you put them in the bracket, the math is always going to even out that way.
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Old Yesterday, 02:32 PM   #22856
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

maru stats

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Old Yesterday, 02:42 PM   #22857
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

but on the same side, they cant ever both be in finals, so will be slightly under that
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Old Yesterday, 02:43 PM   #22858
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

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lol fair enough, i'll do 10:50 if you want, qtb
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b00ked, gl
is what i meant
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Old Yesterday, 02:59 PM   #22859
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

Oh lol I forgot about that bet

What’s your info?
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Old Yesterday, 05:18 PM   #22860
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

received ty
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Old Yesterday, 05:58 PM   #22861
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

guess no st bets went off
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Old Yesterday, 06:56 PM   #22862
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

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but on the same side, they cant ever both be in finals, so will be slightly under that
Okay, let's say their path might put them in the same semifinal instead of the same final.

Maru makes that semifinal: 1/4
Gumiho makes that semifinal: 1/4

They both do (100% Terran advance to finals): 1/4 * 1/4 = 1/16
Neither do (0%): 3/4 * 3/4 = 9/16
Exactly one does (50% Terran advance): 6/16

Chance a Terran advances from that semifinal: 1/16 + (0.5 * 6/16) = 4/16 = 1/4
Chance a Terran wins the tournament: 0.5 * 1/4 = 1/8 (same as other bracket setups)
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Old Today, 12:51 AM   #22863
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

i thought maru was eliminated by stats already
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Old Today, 10:30 AM   #22864
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Re: Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!)

Game
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of parting vs ragnarock is incredible and the commentary Makes it even better
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