Quote:
Originally Posted by gamboneee
but based on that math, the ability to have 2 in ro4 would be double. having 2 terrans not mirror is the same 50%, but having 2 chances is more than 25
Say that Maru and Gumiho were on complete opposite ends of the bracket.
Chances Maru is in finals: 1/8
Chances Gumiho is in finals: 1/8
Chance Maru AND Gumiho make finals (100% Terran victory): 1/8 * 1/8 = 1/64
Chance neither Maru nor Gumiho make finals (0% Terran victory): 7/8 * 7/8 = 49/64
Chance that exactly one of Maru/Gumiho make finals (50% Terran victory): 1 - the other two possibilities above = 14/64
So, 1/64 + (0.5 * 14/64) = 8/64 = 1/8.
No matter where you put them in the bracket, the math is always going to even out that way.