Starcraft 2 (GAME IS NOW FREE!) - Page 915 - Video Games

I don't think that matters - two Terrans in that part of the bracket increases the chance that a Terran emerges from those 4 players. It works out the same (50% Terran advancing from their sub-bracket, times 25% chance their sub-bracket produces the champion).

Quote

04-18-2019 , 09:34 AM

#22853

weeeez

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 3,668

What an epic day!

maru vs stats

Spoiler:

I watched all games and all the series were entertaining, especially last one

Spoiler:

about results:

Spoiler:

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04-18-2019 , 01:12 PM

#22854

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

Quote:

Originally Posted by goofyballer

but based on that math, the ability to have 2 in ro4 would be double. having 2 terrans not mirror is the same 50%, but having 2 chances is more than 25

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04-18-2019 , 02:19 PM

#22855

goofyballer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 70,719

Quote:

Originally Posted by gamboneee

but based on that math, the ability to have 2 in ro4 would be double. having 2 terrans not mirror is the same 50%, but having 2 chances is more than 25

Say that Maru and Gumiho were on complete opposite ends of the bracket.

Chances Maru is in finals: 1/8
Chances Gumiho is in finals: 1/8

Chance Maru AND Gumiho make finals (100% Terran victory): 1/8 * 1/8 = 1/64
Chance neither Maru nor Gumiho make finals (0% Terran victory): 7/8 * 7/8 = 49/64
Chance that exactly one of Maru/Gumiho make finals (50% Terran victory): 1 - the other two possibilities above = 14/64

So, 1/64 + (0.5 * 14/64) = 8/64 = 1/8.

No matter where you put them in the bracket, the math is always going to even out that way.

Quote

04-18-2019 , 02:32 PM

#22856

bsball8806

bff with birdman

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 47,301

maru stats

Spoiler:

Quote

04-18-2019 , 02:42 PM

#22857

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

but on the same side, they cant ever both be in finals, so will be slightly under that

Quote

04-18-2019 , 02:43 PM

#22858

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

Quote:

Originally Posted by bsball8806

lol fair enough, i'll do 10:50 if you want, qtb

Quote:

Originally Posted by gamboneee

b00ked, gl

is what i meant

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04-18-2019 , 02:59 PM

#22859

bsball8806

bff with birdman

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 47,301

Oh lol I forgot about that bet

What’s your info?

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04-18-2019 , 05:18 PM

#22860

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

received ty

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04-18-2019 , 05:58 PM

#22861

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

guess no st bets went off

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04-18-2019 , 06:56 PM

#22862

goofyballer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 70,719

Quote:

Originally Posted by gamboneee

but on the same side, they cant ever both be in finals, so will be slightly under that

Okay, let's say their path might put them in the same semifinal instead of the same final.

Maru makes that semifinal: 1/4
Gumiho makes that semifinal: 1/4

They both do (100% Terran advance to finals): 1/4 * 1/4 = 1/16
Neither do (0%): 3/4 * 3/4 = 9/16
Exactly one does (50% Terran advance): 6/16

Chance a Terran advances from that semifinal: 1/16 + (0.5 * 6/16) = 4/16 = 1/4
Chance a Terran wins the tournament: 0.5 * 1/4 = 1/8 (same as other bracket setups)

Quote

04-19-2019 , 12:51 AM

#22863

PokerPlayingGamble

Dispute Unresolved

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 4,681

i thought maru was eliminated by stats already

Quote

04-19-2019 , 10:30 AM

#22864

bsball8806

bff with birdman

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 47,301

Game

Spoiler:

of parting vs ragnarock is incredible and the commentary Makes it even better

Quote

04-22-2019 , 12:30 PM

#22865

bsball8806

bff with birdman

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 47,301

TJ, did we ever end up actually having more than 2 people in that pool?

also

Spoiler:

side point: do we have another forum to migrate to like politics?

Quote

04-23-2019 , 08:55 PM

#22866

weeeez

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 3,668

GSL groups are out

group A looks good for maru and inno.
Armani who?
Group E is no joke and group G looks like the most chaotic possible.

super tournament was really good:

Spoiler:

Can Maru win 5 GSL in a row?

Quote

04-23-2019 , 10:04 PM

#22867

tellypl

adept

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 938

Quote:

Originally Posted by weeeez

GSL groups are out

group A looks good for maru and inno.
Armani who?
Group E is no joke and group G looks like the most chaotic possible.

super tournament was really good:

Spoiler:

Can Maru win 5 GSL in a row?

Maru 5 in a row would be insanity. 4 already is. Imo h toughest group

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

04-23-2019 , 10:23 PM

#22868

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

wouldnt really say any group looks too bad, not that there cant be upsets

Quote

04-27-2019 , 02:03 AM

#22869

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

looking again i think d looks toughest. i hope e ends up being good.

lets go maru obv. pretty nice they jam them into 2 weeks again

Quote

04-27-2019 , 07:07 AM

#22870

tellypl

adept

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 938

Quote:

Originally Posted by gamboneee

looking again i think d looks toughest. i hope e ends up being good.

lets go maru obv. pretty nice they jam them into 2 weeks again

Agreed! So many games!

Also NA/EU challenger all weekend, love it

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

04-28-2019 , 12:28 AM

#22871

TJ Eckleburg12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 13,501

Quote:

Originally Posted by bsball8806

TJ, did we ever end up actually having more than 2 people in that pool?

also

Spoiler:

side point: do we have another forum to migrate to like politics?

Sorry, just now finally finished watching all the Super Tournament games.

Nobody else joined the bracket pool, so we weren't booked. However, just for fun, I decided to score my bracket and your bracket to show how much fun it COULD have been, with Fibonacci scoring:

Super Tournament spoilers below:

Spoiler:

Finals spoiler:

Spoiler:

Last edited by TJ Eckleburg12; 04-28-2019 at 12:34 AM.

Quote

04-28-2019 , 12:31 AM

#22872

TJ Eckleburg12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 13,501

Quote:

side point: do we have another forum to migrate to like politics?

The long-term politics regs started another forum to stay a community in the face of the owners of this site's fascism.

It can be found here.

Quote

04-28-2019 , 12:44 AM

#22873

TJ Eckleburg12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 13,501

Quote:

Originally Posted by weeeez

GSL groups are out

group A looks good for maru and inno.
Armani who?
Group E is no joke and group G looks like the most chaotic possible.

super tournament was really good:

Spoiler:

Can Maru win 5 GSL in a row?

I agree that Group H is the toughest.

Really pulling for Scarlett to do some big things!