- Brutal draw for some of our top foreigners - Serral, Neeb, Scarlett all up against Rogue/Innovation, Dark, Classic in the first two rounds
- Maru has perhaps the easiest path to the finals ever: Soo = lol, Zest = the guy he just 4-0ed in the finals, semifinals is probably where he's most likely to meet his match
i actually think serral has the easiest route, obv drawing a foreigner first is a big win but the rest of the games are pretty win-able. zvz? what even happens there? no one knows. maru otoh has 3 probable matches that could be code s level, and i dont put it past scarlett to win (sorry neeb)
Soo was GARBAGE in his Code S group though, and Maru totally wiped the floor with Zest in last season's finals - against some people I'd think these guys could pose a threat, I just don't think Maru is one of them.
Soo's recent results, btw (I had to look these up but I suspected it had been awhile since I'd seem him excel anywhere): failed to qualify for IEM Katowice, ro16 (first round) in GSL ST 1, ro16 in GSL S2, ro32 in GSL S3.
I'm not saying that soO or Zest are comparable with Maru. They aren't. Nobody is, except maybe Rogue. Maru is in terrifying form, and well on his way to becoming a bonjwa. But you weren't claiming that Maru was better than these guys, you were claiming that these guys were the worst in the tournament (easiest path to the finals) which they aren't. They are both StarCraft end bosses. soO has been in more GSL finals than anyone else, and your point that Maru did well against Zest in the GSL finals is really just proof of how good Zest is. He was in the GSL finals. He made it very end of the toughest SC tournament around. QED, he's a great player. He's a former GSL Champion, a driver of the PvX meta, and absolutely one of the toughest Protoss players around, or par with sOs or Stats any day of the week.
^^ that and maru v zest he had some very specific builds for that match up. an error here or there and its a 4-3 to someone. and in these bo5s theres no way to chalk it up as easy wins vs people who are capable of pulling out some crazy stuff themselves.
thats fair, i think we'd agree that the best player on one side, then the next best 4 of 5 on the other (throwing stats somewhere into the middle) could be called easier. i have a hard time putting any foreigner into the discussion. scarlett can be ok, and serral gets soooooo much hype for staying overseas but we'll see.
id really like to see him get smashed over and over so people will stop saying hes so good. but if he loses round two they can just make excuses for him.
i would think dark or stats has easiest road to semis, then everyone will have a probably difficult round into finals. but lescooooo maruuuuuuuuuuuuu
I am a big believer in Serral and super excited to see him play against top Koreans. I actually think Serral vs Rogue would be a pretty even match. I think Serral could beat Innovation too, but it's hard to tell how good Serral's TvZ is because there is a big gap between top foreign terrans and top Korean terrans.
I agree with goofy that Maru has a pretty easy path to the finals. Soo just lost to Special and Keen, so i don't like his chances against Maru. Obviously if Soo plays his best he is capable of beating anyone, so it wouldn't be the biggest upset ever if he beat Maru. If he plays like he did in code S he is going to get stomped into the ground tho. I really like Maru's chances against Zest and Stats too.
Say goodbye to:
(I had 2 of those vetoed and didn't love Redshift, so not an awful list of maps to get rid of)
Say hello to:
Seems standard/unobjectionable, maybe a short attack distance for midgame pushes
Also seems fairly standard
Cerulean Fall LE
Seems like high ground siege tanks will do quite well in attacks on Zerg 4ths on this map
Para Site LE
Also kinda weird - for bottom right player, the 6 o'clock third (not the super forward one, which probably is not tenable?) seems vulnerable on the low ground, but I always hate being forced into taking a third (the 4 o'clock one) that makes a triangle out of your bases such that warp prisms/medivacs can force you to dance between your 3rd and main
Why? You maybe have a small window to roach/ravager all in when the Terran doesn't have as many units as they should, but that's putting a lot of eggs in one basket, and if you elect not to then Terran can just wall off and make 5 CCs in their main or whatever. It's even easier on 16-Bit where you have the pocket natural you can mine from immediately.
Addendum: Maru was even in supply by 6:20 without a single meaningful engagement taking place; maybe Soo is terrible at SC2 (I've certainly advocated that recently!), or maybe MULEs are really really good
well soo really didnt do anything at all. theres zero reason he should be even supply with no pressure on him and terran expanding 2 mins or so later. idk when he took his third but even a ton of drones should put him very far ahead into midgame, which i think he was. he kind of threw it over and over in engages throughout. and nukes lol, not as bad as scarletts tho