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You value-betting this river? You value-betting this river?

12-02-2021 , 10:40 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 1(BB)
BTN ($106.33)
SB ($128.73)
BB ($100)
HERO ($100)
HJ ($100)
CO ($191.39)

Dealt to Hero: A A

HERO Raises To $2.50, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls $1.50

Hero SPR on Flop: [17.73 effective]
Flop ($5.50): T K 5
BB Checks, HERO Bets $3.92 (Rem. Stack: $93.58), BB Calls $3.92 (Rem. Stack: $93.58)

Turn ($13.34): T K 5 3
BB Checks, HERO Bets $12.68 (Rem. Stack: $80.90), BB Calls $12.68 (Rem. Stack: $80.90)

River ($38.70): T K 5 3 4
BB Checks

Villain looks like a reg over 40 hands. Has only seen 4 flops
You value-betting this river? Quote
12-02-2021 , 11:27 PM
Yeah, small sizing
You value-betting this river? Quote
12-02-2021 , 11:38 PM
Yes, but that assumes we are betting this board small with our entire range for the sake of simplicity.

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
You value-betting this river? Quote
12-03-2021 , 10:31 AM
I like OB turn and check back river, for exacly this reason. Our hand is very strong ott, but will have hard time value betting river, so 1.5x OB ott is prefect amount of money to put in.

You can see that solver also mostly uses that sizing(ofc your sizing is ok)



Otr hand is indifferent to bet and check and ofc you bluff jam AA combo that blocks flush and BDFD(lol)

You value-betting this river? Quote
12-03-2021 , 10:59 AM
Agree with OB turn.

I think population over calls flop here as well.

Hands like AJ/QT/54s are all mixed vs that sizing but I think most people call one off - so an OB will overperform OTT vs this weaker range.
You value-betting this river? Quote
12-03-2021 , 10:52 PM
i had somewhat similar hand i was going to post in own thread, but here we go, villain is 30/20 something fishy, rather passive reg

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.10/$0.25 - 5 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $19.32 (77 bb)
CO (Hero): $28.44 (114 bb)
BU: $27.59 (110 bb)
SB: $25.66 (103 bb)
BB: $25.96 (104 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with A A
UTG raises to $0.50, Hero 3-bets to $1.80, 2 players fold, BB calls $1.55, UTG calls $1.30

Flop: ($5.50) K 4 3 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1.73, BB calls $1.73, UTG folds

Turn: ($8.96) T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $5.70, BB calls $5.70

River: ($20.36) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, [b][color=#C51F1F]Hero?
You value-betting this river? Quote
12-05-2021 , 11:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnRusty
Villain looks like a reg over 40 hands. Has only seen 4 flops
Even then, BB range in SRP might have some odd 2 pair combinations.

I quite like jamming here based on your large sizings so far. Polarise the bet and force him to make a MDF decision with his Kx; as you are UTG he might have some strong Kings here, again the large sizings will have folded out a lot of naked flush draws.

Or is that torching money?
You value-betting this river? Quote
12-06-2021 , 04:48 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 1(BB)
BTN ($106.33) [VPIP: 23.7% | PFR: 15.3% | AGG: 52.9% | Hands: 60]
SB ($128.73) [VPIP: 21.9% | PFR: 15.6% | AGG: 36.8% | Hands: 65]
BB ($100) [VPIP: 29.4% | PFR: 23.5% | AGG: 50% | Flop Agg: 62.5% | Turn Agg: 25% | River Agg: 50% | 3-Bet: 5.6% | 4-Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 11.1% | Hands: 53]
HERO ($100) [VPIP: 25.2% | PFR: 20.4% | AGG: 37.4% | Flop Agg: 40.2% | Turn Agg: 39.6% | River Agg: 35.9% | 3-Bet: 8.9% | 4-Bet: 10.9% | Hands: 123949]
HJ ($100) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 25% | AGG: 50% | Hands: 12]
CO ($191.39) [VPIP: 34.5% | PFR: 19% | AGG: 52.9% | Hands: 87]

Dealt to Hero: A A

HERO Raises To $2.50, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls $1.50

Hero SPR on Flop: [17.73 effective]
Flop ($5.50): T K 5
BB Checks, HERO Bets $3.92 (Rem. Stack: $93.58), BB Calls $3.92 (Rem. Stack: $93.58)

Turn ($13.34): T K 5 3
BB Checks, HERO Bets $12.68 (Rem. Stack: $80.90), BB Calls $12.68 (Rem. Stack: $80.90)

River ($38.70): T K 5 3 4
BB Checks, HERO Checks

Spoiler:

BTN shows: 4 K
SB shows: J 7
BB shows: T Q
HJ shows: T K
CO shows: 3 8

HERO wins: $36.77
You value-betting this river? Quote

      
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