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What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please)
View Poll Results: What % of days do you win? (NOT sessions)
50-55
24 16.33%
55-60
24 16.33%
60-65
20 13.61%
65-70
19 12.93%
70-75
23 15.65%
75-80
8 5.44%
80-85
4 2.72%
85-90
3 2.04%
> 90
11 7.48%
< 50
11 7.48%

12-31-2012 , 04:56 PM
For say 100bb/100 std dev and 3bb/100 winrate you should expect to win 55% of sessions. I guess at that point the habits of when you quit has much more to do with winning/losing days ratio than variance.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
12-31-2012 , 05:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PenelopeCruz
Yea I've never had a std dev under 100 in my life. I don't have access to my db but I'd be surprised if I've won over 60% of my sessions lifetime.
Surprising with your nit game.

Quote:
Originally Posted by oakton55
A degenerate pit gambler using a martingale system could book a tiny win for the day a very high percentage of the time. Anyone whose percentage of winning days dwarfs their number of losing days over a big sample is almost certainly doing something wrong. At the very least, by making too many suboptimal early quits when games are better than average. At worst, by playing a spewy high variance style when they are stuck.
Or if you play high volume you can win a very high %, as punter already proved statistically.

Additionally, if you grind until unstuck often, that will increase the percentage. Not tilting helps a lot.

Last edited by Two SHAE; 12-31-2012 at 05:13 PM.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
12-31-2012 , 05:11 PM
Two SHAE,

where do you fall here?
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
12-31-2012 , 05:18 PM
Don't have enough of a recent sample to comment. Will definitely update at some point though-- but I will say I think my % pretty damn high. This isn't to say that I'm awesome or anything. What I was getting at with this thread is there are a lot of things that could affect this such as:

-winrate
-standard deviation
-hands/day
-quitting habits
-tilt or lack thereof
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
12-31-2012 , 11:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Two SHAE
Surprising with your nit game.


lol
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
12-31-2012 , 11:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Two SHAE
Don't have enough of a recent sample to comment. Will definitely update at some point though-- but I will say I think my % pretty damn high. This isn't to say that I'm awesome or anything. What I was getting at with this thread is there are a lot of things that could affect this such as:

-winrate
-standard deviation
-hands/day
-quitting habits
-tilt or lack thereof
this is all drunken hypotheses but unless people are playing marathon sessions on the reg i'm pretty sure the first two significantly outweigh everything else
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-01-2013 , 12:13 AM
I win 77% of days somehow. Won 199 out of 258. Only played 270k hands all of them HU 85% of them at PLO. I had a very bad year and didn't win nearly as much as I hoped. Lots of days where I would get stuck 8+BI grind for 12 hours get unstuck and quit.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-01-2013 , 09:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PenelopeCruz
this is all drunken hypotheses but unless people are playing marathon sessions on the reg i'm pretty sure the first two significantly outweigh everything else
define "marathon session"....
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-01-2013 , 09:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nice_2_Beat_U
what stakes/format/sites are you playing?
2/4-5/10, play on a few sites and games are similar everywhere imo. 6max mainly but I have a super secret method that very few know of, and even fewer put it into practice!

Spoiler:
Start games and stay the **** in when it breaks to hu. Im not even good hu but neither are the other msnl regs.


And off course I've had my fair share of rungood sessions over the year.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-01-2013 , 10:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall28
define "marathon session"....
idk, hard to make sense of a post i made at 5am on nye but i probably meant sessions significantly longer than the average session length particularly when stuck. I mean it would be pretty hard to have a more significant impact on win% than std dev/winrate unless you're going to the extreme on either end (being very likely to quit as soon as your up a buy in and on the flip side playing redic long sessions in order to get unstuck).

I think it would be really interesting to see different win percentages for people that don't vary session length or at least don't vary based on results.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-01-2013 , 11:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GraceForDrowning
2/4-5/10, play on a few sites and games are similar everywhere imo. 6max mainly but I have a super secret method that very few know of, and even fewer put it into practice!

Spoiler:
Start games and stay the **** in when it breaks to hu. Im not even good hu but neither are the other msnl regs.


And off course I've had my fair share of rungood sessions over the year.
dude i spent a ridiculous amount of time trying to convince them to do that. mostly fell on deaf ears.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-04-2013 , 08:09 AM
How do I check this without counting manually?
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-04-2013 , 08:24 AM
Quote:
How do I check this without counting manually?
I don't know but here is how to make counting manually easier (for HM1 but probably works for HM2 as well):
-go to sessions tab and "group by" day.
Sort by amount won so you have all the winning days at the top. Make HM full screen and make session top window wide enough to contain exactly say 20 sessions. Now click below the slider of the window - it moves down exactly one screen.
-count how many green screens you have, multiply by 20. Those are winnings days. This is at least not that much clicking

I just checked my 500 ZOOM from previous year and I won in 53.2% of days.
I played 120 hours (125k hands) of 1/2 ZOOM as well earlier in 2012 and I won 64% of days there (my winrate was 5.5bb/100)

Last edited by punter11235; 01-04-2013 at 08:40 AM.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-04-2013 , 12:21 PM
Must be about 70-75% iirc, 6.sth bb/100.

I do tend to play longer when I'm stuck. Dunno where this thread is getting at either
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-04-2013 , 03:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall28
i win slightly greater than half of all days.

i play about 20-25k hands a month.

dunno my bb/100 but i win ~$1.25 per hand.
You are so humble! Highly doubt you make $1.25 per hand as well. graph?
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-04-2013 , 08:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CoolDude21
You are so humble! Highly doubt you make $1.25 per hand as well. graph?
i didnt come here to brag ... it was part of the question.

no matter what i do there's always gonna be doubters. last guy that didn't believe it dropped almost 20k to me.

most ppl on these forums know my general skill level and nobody else questioned it.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-04-2013 , 09:35 PM
fwiw I don't know any of yours sn's and I also don't understand how you can know your $/hand but not winrate but I was trying to not be a dick before since you nicely responded to my question
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-04-2013 , 10:19 PM
Yea seemed pretty absurd given that you clearly play a lot of msnl but i didn't care nor did i feel like arguing about it
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-04-2013 , 11:12 PM
half of my action is played on a site that HM2 and PT4 don't support. it's tracked but only in $ amount and total # of hands.

if u rly don't believe me, lets bet. i have 10k that says i can post graphs of last year all hands i played @ stakes 5/10+ with the total EV adjusted earn rate being >$1.25/hand.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-05-2013 , 02:14 AM
ev adjusted earn rate? lol cmon dude im not talking about sklansky bucks

edit: so i guess my first post was correct, you don't earn $1.25 per hand. on another note, does this mean you count it as a winning day if your ev line was above $0? lol you are a clown
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-05-2013 , 03:06 AM
If I could spend my Sklansky bucks I'd never play below 25/50 again
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-05-2013 , 03:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall28
with the total EV adjusted earn rate being >$1.25/hand.
LMAO at anyone using this metric for this thread
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-05-2013 , 06:39 AM
Could every thread he posts in not revolve around Marshall ?
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-05-2013 , 10:04 AM
800k hands played in 2012
179/251 days was winning, so 71% winning days.
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote
01-05-2013 , 11:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtPlay
Could every thread he posts in not revolve around Marshall ?
There has rarely been a Marshal post where I don't feel like kicking him in the teeth after I read it.

Sorry for derailing
What % of days do you win? (high volume winners only please) Quote

      
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