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villain shoved 280BB OTR villain shoved 280BB OTR

11-02-2019 , 10:02 AM
250BB effective. what range do you think he is doing this with? fwiw if i was 100 BB deep i might have considered a call



Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem $0.1(BB)
BTN ($10) [VPIP: 17.5% | PFR: 15.5% | AGG: 30% | 3-Bet: 8.6% | Hands: 104]
SB ($19.61) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 22.2% | AGG: 38.2% | 3-Bet: 10% | Hands: 1858]
BB ($11.97) [VPIP: 20.5% | PFR: 18% | AGG: 20.8% | 3-Bet: 8.5% | Hands: 747]
HERO ($27.9) [VPIP: 22.1% | PFR: 17% | AGG: 24.5% | 3-Bet: 6.8% | Hands: 21538]
HJ ($4.65) [VPIP: 26.1% | PFR: 8.7% | AGG: 10% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 24]
CO ($30.15) [VPIP: 28.8% | PFR: 4.9% | AGG: 37.3% | 3-Bet: 1.8% | Hands: 320]

Dealt to Hero: Q A

HERO Raises To $0.30, HJ Folds, CO Calls $0.30, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [36.8 effective]
Flop ($0.75): T 6 6
HERO Bets $0.41 (Rem. Stack: 27.19), CO Calls $0.41 (Rem. Stack: 29.44)

Turn ($1.57): T 6 6 A
HERO Bets $0.74 (Rem. Stack: 26.45), CO Calls $0.74 (Rem. Stack: 28.70)

River ($3.05): T 6 6 A 2
HERO Bets $1.39 (Rem. Stack: 25.06), CO Raises To $28.70 (allin), HERO Folds

Spoiler:

CO wins: $5.51
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 10:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Raddad101213
fwiw if i was 100 BB deep i might have considered a call
No, this is low in your range and you have no blockers to villain's value range

Doodoo, if you stumble upon this thread, this is exactly what I'm talking about regarding massive ovb, people don't understand how tight they need to defend
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 10:44 AM
so you guys are basically saying they only do this with the nuts?
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 10:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Raddad101213
so you guys are basically saying they only do this with the nuts?
To be blunt it doesn't matter, because of the size of the bet you can call with only the nuts and be ok.

That being said--yes.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brokenstars
To be blunt it doesn't matter, because of the size of the bet you can call with only the nuts and be ok.

That being said--yes.
i think i got it. so i have to call 27.31 to win 31.75. divide 31.75 by 27.31 and the minimum defense frequency is slightly over 1%
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:09 AM
Your calculation isn't correct.

Anyways, mdf doesn't matter here.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:10 AM
not sure if this hand i comparable because it is a donk lead overshove, but i looked him up because he bought in shallow and just sat down.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem $0.1(BB)
BB ($4.05) [VPIP: 32.4% | PFR: 22.1% | AGG: 37.1% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 68]
UTG ($6.61) [VPIP: 13.3% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 16]
HJ ($3.7) [VPIP: 70% | PFR: 40% | AGG: 37.5% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 20]
HERO ($12.5) [VPIP: 22.1% | PFR: 17% | AGG: 24.5% | 3-Bet: 6.8% | Hands: 21538]
BTN ($21.16) [VPIP: 28.8% | PFR: 4.9% | AGG: 37.3% | 3-Bet: 1.8% | Hands: 320]
SB ($70.7) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 22.2% | AGG: 38.2% | 3-Bet: 10% | Hands: 1858]

Dealt to Hero: J K

UTG Folds, HJ Calls $0.10, HERO Raises To $0.40, BTN Folds, SB Calls $0.35, BB Folds, HJ Calls $0.30

Hero SPR on Flop: [2.54 effective]
Flop ($1.30): J 5 6
SB Checks, HJ Bets $3.30 (allin), HERO Calls $3.30 (Rem. Stack: 8.8), SB Folds

Turn ($7.90): J 5 6 7

River ($7.90): J 5 6 7 4

Spoiler:

HJ shows: 6 2

HERO wins: $7.47
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:11 AM
Definitely not the same thing.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brokenstars
Your calculation isn't correct.

Anyways, mdf doesn't matter here.
poker is hard.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Raddad101213
poker is hard.
Indeed.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Raddad101213
poker is hard.
actually it is simple

YOU make it hard for yourself.

Spoiler:
MDF, calling 100bb deep, wrong math lmao
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dubakkur2
actually it is simple

YOU make it hard for yourself.

Spoiler:
MDF, calling 100bb deep, wrong math lmao
thanks for the clarification
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:23 AM
im not afraid to admit im an idiot with no ego, and thats why im here to learn
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:27 AM
ok, call 27.31 to win 31.75. divide 27.31 by 31.75 and i have to be good 86% of the time....maybe?
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 11:38 AM
That is also incorrect.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 12:03 PM
Ok overbet shove+ no nuts =no call. Got it
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-02-2019 , 12:11 PM
That is a pretty good start actually, yeah.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-03-2019 , 08:35 AM
Nobody's talking about hero's triple barrell/sizings? it looks kinda bad.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-03-2019 , 09:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Raddad101213
ok, call 27.31 to win 31.75. divide 27.31 by 31.75 and i have to be good 86% of the time....maybe?

Villain all in / Villain all in + Pot = how much you need to fold so Villain breaks even on his bluff.

so in theory you can almost fold 90% of your range here. but in practice you can probably fold more because Villain is mostly not bluffing.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote
11-03-2019 , 09:51 AM
Think river plays better as a check call, flop can be checked too.

Very easy fold on the river, would fold all my backdoor flushes too. Would also fold this combo at 100bb deep.

People tend to bluff a lot less frequently when deep by the way, so not only do you get to fold pretty often from a maths standpoint you can fold even more than the maths suggests just because of the lack of bluffs.
villain shoved 280BB OTR Quote

      
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