Quote:
Originally Posted by EeeTeeKid
Thanks for the analysis.
I'll go through them in my order, cause I think some I definetely need to work on, others I'm not so sure.
1. I was actually recently about 3% or so tighter in EP, and was told to loosen up a little. Instead or raising say AJ+, ATs, KQ, KJs, all PP's, I started adding in 78s-QJs, and some Axs, which made an extra 3%. What do you think?
2. Hmm, I thought that the margin between my c-bet flop and turn was ok. FWIW my c-bet flop and turn might be a little less than average because all I do is hunt fishes, meaning less nits/TAGs etc I flop against. I don't know how accurate this is, but what is a decent margin between the two? This seemed pretty good to me.
3. I thought 39% was more than ample for stealing?
4. Definetely something I need to work on, number 1 point. I need to get out of the thought oh this is a standard value bet, I need to really start getting reads on the players, and think about my betsizing and the consequences on further streets.
5. I wasn't too sure about this one either. I've been trying to call IP with more hands such as 78s-JTs , PPs, Axs for the most part. But then at the same time I read Pokey's post where you shouldn't really be cold calling. Another grey area for me. Any ideas?
6. Again, another aspect which I'm not so sure about. I've been having trouble in 3-bet pots (Light ones that is), so I've decided to stick away from them unless it's vs a TAG/NIT thats folding a ton, and I got pretty good reads on post flop. I also think this will be a bit lower than general if I seek out the fish games.
Thanks again
1. PP's/KQs/AJ+ should be about 10%. I think 12 is fine and 16 is too much. I think at 25NL, anything more than 12 is a bit of a leak. Only time I generally deviate is if there is a fish in the blinds or something. Increasing your opening range UTG is someone you do after you move up a few more levels.
2. Because cbetting is so popular (ie bad regs cbetting 100%) a lot of players will peel with anything but will shut down after that. Identifiying these villians is gold. Your cbet turn % is probably not overly exploitable but it was just something to think about.
3. yeah, missed the steal stat, I was looking more at the button pfr. 40% steal is good, but be always looking for situations to steal and not steal. ie vs stations that arn't folding to cbets/any bets, you will need to tighten up, vs 2 guys with fold to steal stats over 80%, you need to pound until they start combating you (sometimes never).
I orginally was thinking if you are going to be reducing your UTG range that you could add more hands to your button but you are stealing a fair bit. However, when you increase your 3bet amount your overall vpip/pfr will increase a good amount as well.
4. if you play less tables it will really help. I have dropped back in tables and started writing heaps of notes, and even if you arn't using those notes straight away it helps keep you concentrating on the game, always trying to find things to exploit.
This is obviously your biggest area that you need to improve, and its impossible to tell you how to do it, as its just situations. Read/post more hands.
Another thing that I thought of is, don't be raising people that you think are bluffing, you need to c/c all day long, if that is your read. Raising will just make them fold their bluffs and continue with hands that have you beat. This is just something that I had a bit of a problem with a while back and it took some time to work it out (not sure if you have the same problem). I would just think, this guy is bluffing here a ton, and insta shove. This is a massive leak.
5. you need to do it with a reason not just all the time. and if they are folding to 3bets often pound them with these first, then to improve your image, call IP instead to mix it up if you know they have leaks post flop.
6. if you are 3betting IP, regs won't call you OOP, they should be 4bet or folding. Generally their 4betting range will not be enough to compensate for your high 3betting.
Its tough at 25NL as there are lots of people who will call 3bets, and you can't be 3betting light if they are calling. Pick your opponents wisely.
As I said last time, this is just my opinion. Look futher into all the areas discussed.