Quote:
Originally Posted by pbowenroe
I kinda feel bad posting this here when there's quite a few people who have had no replies as yet, but I don't feel I'm qualified to comment on anyone's stats.
I have played 20k hands at 10nl and I can't beat it. I am not running under ev so I think it's pretty clear that I am a losing player.
I am also a nit. I don't go out and try to play really tight but it just happens. So here's my stats and graph.
If anyone could point out any leaks I'd be grateful.
Hey dude,
You said you think you are just playing like a nit and can't help it, but honestly I think that is not your problem. Yes you could make some more $$ by opening up your game a little bit more from the BTN and especially from the CO. But the one thing that stands out to me by far the most is your winnings graph.
Your red line (non-showdown winnings) is almost straight down. I tried to figure out why this might be and then saw that your 2-barrel % is MEGA high. First of all you are cbetting ~80% on avg and then ~50% of those hands are being 2 barreled give or take. That means that you're cbetting and 2 barreling something like 40% of your range, which can't always be for value.
My biggest suggestion to you is just take a one-and-done approach at 10NL to cbetting. As your cbetting % isn't 100% I think you may have some idea about what types of boards are okay for cbetting and are making very good use of cbetting, but everything you win from cbetting you lose when you run failed 2barrel and perhaps 3barrel bluffs.
You must realize that at 10NL you are playing bad passive fish and when they call you it's because they have a hand. It doesn't mean it's a HUGE hand, it coudl very well be a draw. But the reality of the situation is they are NOT going to be folding to your 2 barrel. You mgiht want to check your HEM database and filter by turn continuation bet and see how much $ you have lost from those hands - I think the results might suprise you.
Hope this helps.
Edit:
I am not advocating to NEVER 2 barrel bluff. There are certain weak tight players that will always call your opens with pocket pairs and then maybe check/call a flop and always check/fold a turn. Just be sure you KNOW that you are playing a weak tight opponent if you want to try this. Most opponents at 10NL (>80%) are going to be bad passive and will be very reluctant to fold the turn with anything they called the flop with (which is why we value bet them so relentlessly when we do have it
)
Last edited by hhm2; 11-05-2010 at 02:13 AM.