NLHE, 7 handed online. .10/.20.
UTG: $8.90
UTG+1 (VILLAIN): $43.83 (40/4 over 78 hands)
HJ: $53.90
CO: $50.27
BTN: $16.95
SB (HERO): $67.25 (32/18 over 80 hands)
BB: $9.80
Hero is dealt AdKh.
Hero posts $0.10
BB posts $0.20, folds, UTG+1 open-limps $0.20, folds, folds, BTN limps, Hero raises to $1.10, folds, UTG+1 $1.10, BTN folds.
[FLOP - $2.50] - Jc Th Tc
Hero bets $1.75, Villain snap calls $1.75.
[TURN - $6] - Jc Th Tc [Qs]
Hero bets $4.50, Villain snap calls $4.50
[RIVER - $15] Jc Th Tc Qs [2h]
Hero ???
Three things.
1. What does he ever have here that he's happily calling down with all three streets without ever considering raising? I put him on KxTx, TxXx, and 9x8x hands. Maybe KcQc? KxTx blocks my straight hands, TxXx is not unreasonable for somebody who called all three streets, or 9x8x, probably of clubs.
2. Can I ever overbet the pot on the turn and then jam the river? If he has a boat, so be it?
3. Do stack depths ever make me want to stick it in by the turn, especially versus a calling station? Given that we're 215bb effective?