[MICRO] TPTK vs. large river bet - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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[MICRO] TPTK vs. large river bet

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03-11-2024 , 01:05 PM

tdammon

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 707

V is 22 / 15 / 6 over 2k hands. Despite the reasonable stats I have them tagged as a rec with a note that they shoved 250bb over a 2.5bb open with AKs.

The small turn bet seems odd to me, like maybe V has a worse K.

Yatahay Network - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 138 BB
MP: 100 BB
Hero (CO): 250.6 BB
BTN: 39.6 BB
SB: 107.4 BB
BB: 316.6 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.4 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.4 BB

Flop: (5.2 BB, 2 players) K

BB checks, Hero bets 1.8 BB, BB raises to 6.2 BB, Hero calls 4.4 BB

Turn: (17.6 BB, 2 players) 7

BB bets 8.8 BB, Hero calls 8.8 BB

River: (35.2 BB, 2 players) J

BB bets 35.2 BB, Hero ??

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03-11-2024 , 02:41 PM

Ceres

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2019 Posts: 3,058

Tempting but QT got there and so did KJ, that plus PSB leans me towards letting it go.

I don't think this runout is bluffed enough, it could be merged, it could even be KQ. But i dont' think it's JT and there aren't that many whiffed draws. KQ and KT are probably better calls.

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03-11-2024 , 03:14 PM

tdammon

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 707

After seeing V's hand, do you think V played reasonably? Would you add any tags or classifications to V for future reference. This is a player I see quite a lot, just not sure how to document this play.

Spoiler:

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03-11-2024 , 03:18 PM

TripleBerryJam

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2023 Posts: 470

The runout hits them pretty hard. 86/QT/KJ hit and QJ/JT can't bluff so you're hoping they were able to XR 5x and barrel or barrel turned 7x. Your note doesn't actually make me feel they'll be super spewy in this line and sizing sequence.

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03-11-2024 , 03:26 PM

TripleBerryJam

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2023 Posts: 470

Quote:

Originally Posted by tdammon

Spoiler:

- Flats JJ vs 2.5x BB vs CO
- XR mergy underpair dry flop B50 turn
- Pots rivered nuts

First one you pretty much know from HUD and you'd just exploit with a high fold to 3-bet (if they're not over defending BB then their calling range will be stronger too)

Second I'm not exactly sure, probably have flop 3-bets and raise aggressively vs turn/river checks or smaller bets

Third just overfold vs large river bets and raise more vs check or smaller

These aren't too significant from one hand (and you probably shouldn't implement the above exploits just from it) but you should be paying lots of attention to bet sizing tells from this opponent.

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03-11-2024 , 03:39 PM

Ceres

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2019 Posts: 3,058

JJ haha

yes I think the main thing to note here is FISH. And we can just rely on our thin value lines to automatically destroy their nonsensical strategy without dedicating too much brain power to things.

Even making a note like 'XR flop merged' is not super helpful down the line so I wouldn't sweat it. They are throwing money at us as it is.

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03-12-2024 , 03:48 PM

Haizemberg93

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2016 Posts: 7,255

I don't hate just raising small turn bet, it really looks like Kx or some draw looking for cheap river card. AP- I would fold river vs pot size bet.

He is playing very honestly, so note that.

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