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TP with backdoor flush draw- 25NL TP with backdoor flush draw- 25NL

06-02-2008 , 05:26 PM
villain was around 38/18/2 after 9 hands. i hadn't seen him go to showdown yet or do anything crazy, so no specific reads.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked

Hero (BTN): $24.30
SB: $34.50
BB: $11.45
UTG: $10.40
MP: $48.40
CO: $21.85

Pre Flop: Hero is BTN with A Q
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG calls $1

Flop: ($4.00) A 6 2 (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $3, SB calls $3, UTG folds

Turn: ($10.00) T (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $6, SB raises to $16, Hero ???

are we good often enough here to shove?
TP with backdoor flush draw- 25NL Quote
06-02-2008 , 05:34 PM
There's little in terms of draws out there and the turn is pretty much a blank. SB's likely range here is A2/A6/AT/22/66/TT I'm guessing. I can't see him calling out of the blinds with T6/T2/62 that often, so without pokerstoving it I'm assuming it's a fold.
TP with backdoor flush draw- 25NL Quote
06-02-2008 , 05:42 PM
you're getting 32:10 on your money
you're 4:1 to make the flush, with only the 6 as a scary card so about 5:1 to win if he has a set
you'll only have $5 behind on the river, so you'll never win enough to cover the costs of drawing

a clear fold imo, nh
TP with backdoor flush draw- 25NL Quote

      
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