Quote:
Originally Posted by imfromsweden
First of all, thanks for a great response!
1. This is all of my hands in May, or around 10k. My main game at 25/50NL is around 19/13/2.8 but as you can see I've loosened up lately. Good or bad, I don't know...
2. Yeah, well I check back a lot of flops. As you can see, I only cbet 62% of the time. And out of those 62% I barrel the turn 54% of the time so I totally cbet flop and turn 33% of the time. Is this too much?
3. I actually think I'm defending pritty good, and picking my spots well. Look at the previous page, where I show a graph of when I 3-bet (or call) with thrash hands (No broadways, and no pairs) from the BB. I'm winning money So this is probably not a problem. Yeah I fold SB to a steal pritty much 100% of the time.
4. 6% of the time. Much or not?
5. Good advice. I though A-2o was a "must raise" because we "have an ace".
6. I do, aginst nits I min-raise
7. I 3-bet 5% of the time from the BTN, 4.5% of the time from SB and 6% from the BB. From all other positions, around 2%.
Fold to flop cbet: 55%
Check/raise flop: 3.68%
1) 19/13/3 is already on the high side, I'd stick around there until you have a solid game plan and good win rate with those stats before trying to play even looser. I'm a pretty big newb when it comes to using HEM but off the top of my head I can't think of any of the best aggro player's I've red flagged at NL50 that are playing with a 20+ VPIP.
2) Someone else could probably answer this one better, but its seems like your firing a 2nd barrel way too often. 75% flop cbet and 71.5% turn cbet at NL50 are almost identical, same for NL25. Maybe pushing draws too hard or counting on having more FE than you actually do vs weak made hands. Could be sample size too, I'm not sure how fast these stats converge.
3/4/7) 6% 3bet is very playable but also well above what I'd consider average. Nitty-Tags are usually around 1.5-2.5, decent tags are around 3-3.5 and the most of the very aggro 3betters are 4.5-5.5.
That said playing big pots OOP is not good and your 3betting more from the BB than you are from the button and 3x more than you do from the CO! Just switching those around would probably be an instant boost to your WR.
5) Tightening up your stealing range by dropping the hands that just don't flop well will also give you more credibility when you do cbet and you'll have more room to improve when firing that 2nd barrel. If I saw a villain with a 52% steal and 75% cbet I would be floating, CRing and pretty much calling you down very light.
It would become obvious pretty quick that most of your range is complete trash from LP. That could be why your redline is crashing, villains just don't give you credit for anything. So you either end up 3barreling a marginal hand and get value-towned when they CDL, or you have to give up before showdown when they start playing back at you.
Those are my best guesses. Keep in mind its a small sample size and very hard to say just from stats alone. Tightening up your steal range and 3betting more IP than OOP would be a good start and then fine tune from there