Quote:
Originally Posted by useYourStenGun
Hi Guys, this is my first post, so go easy on me.
I was hoping for some feedback on my Poker Tracker Stats. I am undoubtedly on a downswing, which my PokerEV graph confirms, but 70k hands is a lot, so I must have some leaks somewhere.
I am being staked to play and I’m worried I’m about to be dropped. My mentor says I am doing fine, and that I just need to plug away and wait for things to turn around.
My live results are much, much better and I am getting confused as to why my online results are so terrible. I am playing 6 max, four tables at once, up to $0.25/0.50, although mostly at $0.10/0.20 at the moment as I have been disciplined and begrudgingly dropped down limits.
I play up to $2-$4 in live games and crush those, yet I can’t beat the micros online. Is there anything glaring in my stats below that may suggest why?
Thanks for having a look.
Total Hands - 73,139
VPIP - 16%
PFR - 12%
W$WSF - 41.5%
WSD - 26%
Won$@SD - 53%
C-Bet - 65%
Agg Factor pre flop - 2.67
Agg Factor on flop - 5.05
Agg Factor on turn - 2.33
Agg Factor on River - 2.34
Total Aggression Factor - 3
Folded to river bet - 66%
Check Raise - 0.4%
Attempt to steal blinds - 24.5%
Button BB/hand - 0.11
Cut Off BB/hand - 0.08
HiJack BB/hand - 0.04
Seat 3 BB/hand - 0.02
Big Blind BB/hand - (0.17)
Small Blind BB/hand - (0.13)
BB/hand overall - (1.26)
Basically, you are playing too nitty for 6 max. You may want to post these stats in the stats thread over in the 6 max micro forum (they have one, but it is not stickied, so you will have to search for it) for a second opinion, but here's what i think:
16/12 vpip/pfr--is simply too nitty. I think that most 6 max players would agree that playing something like 22/17 or so is more like a 6 max TAg than 16/12. I think you should be opening much more often. Raise any pocket pair UTG, maybe dip as low as ATs UTG, and open up a bit more in each position as your position approaches the button. By the button you should be opening a very wide range; thus:
ATS 24%--again, this is far too low for a 6 max game. In 6 max, I think that I would be stealing something like 30% from the CO, 35-40% from the button, and 40% from the SB, and I would probably be berated by the TAgs as a nit for stealing so little. Stove these ranges, replace some of the lowest high card hands with the pocket pairs that aren't included in the Stove range for 30% and 40%, and start stealing with all of those hands.
Your win rates in all non-blind positions are low--this indicates a very small post flop edge with respect to hand reading skills; your mentor was correct to move you down to where you should have a bigger edge.
Your loss rates in the blinds are too big. I'd love to have those loss rates at FR, but the blinds are 1/3 of the hands you play at 6 max, so you can't afford to lose as much money from the blinds at 6 max as you can from FR. You need to play your blinds more aggressively. You will need to 3 bet more and probably call a little lighter than you are now.
The math behind why you are losing is simple; you are losing .30 BB/orbit in the blinds and only earning .23/orbit in the non-blind positions. So you need to earn more in non-blind positions and lose less in the blinds. Step one to earning more in the non-blind positions is to play more hands. As a 16/12, you are playing, on average, less than one non-blind hand per orbit, if my math is correct. Yet, in order to realize a profit, you have to win back the .30 you lose per orbit in the blinds by playing less than one non blind hand per orbit. Perhaps this makes it clear why you are having such a tough time?
Step 2 is, as I said, to lose less in the blinds, so you have a smaller hole to climb out of with your non-blind hands.
Finally, I am thinking that if you are playing a 16/12 style at 6 max, you may be temperamentally more suited to joining us at FR instead of continuing at 6 max. This is probably why you beat live (FR, I assume) games but not 6 max.