I'm a former 25NL / 50NL grinder, but due to some bankroll issues since Black Friday, I've been grinding up a roll from some FPPs, starting from 2NL. I finally made it back to 25NL but immediately ran 3 BI below EV in my first 1k hands so dropped back down to 10NL. For some reason though, since dropping back down I can't seem to win anymore. I know a 25k hand sample isn't necessarily cause for concern, but my winrate has been so consistently negative that in this period that I'm starting to worry that something drastic has changed in my game that I might be missing.
Here are my 10NL graph and stats leading up to the peak, followed a graph and stats after my 25NL attempt:
Upswing Graph
Upswing Stats
Downswing Graph
Downswing Stats
Am I missing something obvious here, or is this just normal variance? The consistency of the winrates in opposite directions has me really confused, even though the samples aren't really that large
FWIW, I've had this exact problem before when moving up in limits and not being able to win anymore when moving back down. I've never been able to solve it in the past either though :/
ETA:
I'm trying to narrow in on the big discrepancy in my CO and Button winnings between the upswing and dowswing so thought I'd take a look at my steal positions, but having trouble identifying much. Maybe someone with a better eye for this can see something?
Upswing Steal Positions
Downswing Steal Positions
Last edited by wants; 06-13-2011 at 01:11 PM.