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Stabbing a blind person in the eye Stabbing a blind person in the eye

07-02-2022 , 09:52 PM
Stab ok?

River check seems vulnerable, blockers etc


PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB
SB: 100 BB
Hero (BB): 103.8 BB
UTG: 229.8 BB
MP: 203.2 BB
CO: 96.2 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 4 4

fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 3 2 T
SB bets 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB

Turn: (12 BB, 2 players) 6
SB bets 8.8 BB, Hero calls 8.8 BB

River: (29.6 BB, 2 players) 8
SB checks, Hero bets 35.6 BB
Stabbing a blind person in the eye Quote
07-02-2022 , 11:52 PM
You have the best hand a lot of the time here so no need to bluff.

SB over cbets and over double barrels but under triples.

B/B/XF in SBvsBB PFR is a hot spot so you should just bluff all air OTR here.

This is older MDA stuff but it's still relevant.

Stabbing a blind person in the eye Quote
07-03-2022 , 12:32 AM
You look like you have enough bluffs without reaching for this and you beat give ups, but i commend the heart
The sizing seems whacky though so be careful with giving away obvious tells
Stabbing a blind person in the eye Quote
07-03-2022 , 12:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
This is older MDA stuff but it's still relevant.
interesting. i always thought they were more imbalanced to B-XF

Do they have a BF stat for flop? I take it POOL 52 v PIO 38 is a green light to raise (with eq)
Stabbing a blind person in the eye Quote
07-03-2022 , 12:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aner0
The sizing seems whacky though so be careful with giving away obvious tells
I have a rough solve for a similar spot and the solver is jamming around ~20% (not with this hand class). Do you think that would be unwise vs human and we should err on stealth 'value hunting' 66%ish pot sizes for bluffs?
Stabbing a blind person in the eye Quote
07-03-2022 , 01:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ceres
I have a rough solve for a similar spot and the solver is jamming around ~20% (not with this hand class). Do you think that would be unwise vs human and we should err on stealth 'value hunting' 66%ish pot sizes for bluffs?
Huge bluffs definitely work and they help you develop an image by which you also get more value than anyone else
Stabbing a blind person in the eye Quote
07-03-2022 , 01:48 PM
Against real people I think this is a good play, after betting turn+river psychologically people want to keep barrelling their nuts, not go for the check/raise enough so OOP is more capped than theory. While you are uncapped with a load of strong hands and will be perceived as having a hard time finding bluffs in this line because the bottom of your range either has showdown value or hearts. Plus you have double blockers to the nuts


So it has some EV as a check but villain will fold most better hands so it probably has more EV bluffing like you did imo
Stabbing a blind person in the eye Quote
07-03-2022 , 01:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
You have the best hand a lot of the time here so no need to bluff.

SB over cbets and over double barrels but under triples.

B/B/XF in SBvsBB PFR is a hot spot so you should just bluff all air OTR here.

This is older MDA stuff but it's still relevant.

That’s so cool to see, thanks
Stabbing a blind person in the eye Quote

      
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