[MICRO] rivered full house; tough decision - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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[MICRO] rivered full house; tough decision

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Yesterday , 04:18 PM

Count Nelson

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2023 Posts: 44

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 159.8 BB (VPIP: 27.32, PFR: 19.77, 3Bet Preflop: 7.33, Hands: 1,247)
CO: 169.92 BB (VPIP: 27.41, PFR: 23.16, 3Bet Preflop: 11.71, Hands: 634)
Hero (BTN): 183.8 BB
SB: 122.52 BB (VPIP: 22.05, PFR: 14.91, 3Bet Preflop: 4.51, Hands: 329)
BB: 100.08 BB (VPIP: 29.63, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 27)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 6

fold, CO raises to 2.2 BB, Hero calls 2.2 BB, fold, BB calls 1.2 BB

Flop: (7 BB, 3 players) Q

BB checks, CO bets 2.12 BB, Hero calls 2.12 BB, fold

Turn: (11.24 BB, 2 players) 7

CO bets 3.44 BB, Hero calls 3.44 BB

River: (18.12 BB, 2 players) 6

CO bets 26.4 BB, Hero raises to 61.48 BB, CO raises to 162.16 BB and is all-in

Hero? ...

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Yesterday , 04:27 PM

Slasher-

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 450

Sick spot. I dont think I could fold this. I would hope that villain has 33 and click call

He probably has 77 right lol

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Yesterday , 04:34 PM

boulgakov

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 2,827

You raise a river overbet and they shove their remaining 140BB into the pot.

77 they probably check on the flop facing 2 opponents, maybe they cbet 77 with 7h still.
QQ they might check flop, but bet very small is nice also in a 3-way pot I guess.
Q7s and Q6s are in a CO open range, but I imagine Q7 bets bigger on the turn.
54s would be quite an overplay.

Their play seems consistent with QQ and Q6s only, and the latter is blocked heavily. But what are their bluffs ?!?

I don't know about your turn call, seems a bit ambitious.

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Yesterday , 04:35 PM

boulgakov

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 2,827

I forgot 33, but same as Q7, why so small on the turn when there is so much money behind?

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Yesterday , 05:11 PM

AskZandar

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 2,942

I'd call. It's a bogus line for value and your super small river raise might make CO want to jam random stuff because your line doesn't make a lot of sense for a FH.

There's only 1 - Q7s, 2 - Q3s, 3 - 77, 3 - 33, and 1 - QQ that CO can have and it would be weird for any of them to show up often given preflop and bet sizes.

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Yesterday , 07:43 PM

Ceres

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2019 Posts: 3,473

You can't see me rn because this is the internet but I'm pulling my 'calling all boats' face

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Yesterday , 09:55 PM

FreakDaddy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 18,899

Looks like a call. Also based on stats, looks like he's capable of having some bluffs here.

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Today , 02:49 AM

Slasher-

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 450

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ceres

You can't see me rn because this is the internet but I'm pulling my 'calling all boats' face

LOL

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Today , 03:25 AM

andymc1

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 2,145

Don't like the river raise after his overbet. Seems more likely to use this size otr with boats than Qx knowing Qx will struggle to find any folds. In the event that he does have Qx, raising the overbet looks super strong so he probably finds some folds. So i'd just call river first time. His sizing on all streets also makes more sense with quads or boats than Qx.

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Today , 03:52 AM

#10

Slasher-

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 450

Quote:

Originally Posted by andymc1

But what if villain has AQ and he overplays it. Then we could lose some serious value by not going all in?

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Today , 03:57 AM

#11

andymc1

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 2,145

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slasher-

But what if villain has AQ and he overplays it. Then we could lose some serious value by not going all in?

That's definitely a risk. But I think someone with these stats finds a fold sometimes once we raise the overbet. I'm talking about our first raise otr btw. Not about what happened after that.

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Today , 04:35 AM

#12

Polarbear1955

adept

Join Date: May 2022 Posts: 1,093

Quote:

Originally Posted by boulgakov

I forgot 33, but same as Q7, why so small on the turn when there is so much money behind?

To get a call from someone that has shown they are willing to call but not willing to raise. I agree with the poster that wrote once the river gets overbet the range is polarized and whereas we beat all weak hands the only strong hand we beat is 33. Given this the raise seems a bad play in theory.

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Today , 05:14 AM

#13

Slasher-

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 450

Quote:

Originally Posted by andymc1

That's definitely a risk. But I think someone with these stats finds a fold sometimes once we raise the overbet. I'm talking about our first raise otr btw. Not about what happened after that.

Yeah a good player probably finds a fold there with AQ, I agree

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