Winning Poker,
Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 5 players
Replay this hand on Pokeit
UTG: $1.74 (87 bb)
CO: $4.65 (233 bb)
BU: $2.15 (108 bb)
SB (Hero): $1.60 (80 bb)
BB: $2.18 (109 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is SB with 4
4
1 fold,
CO raises to $0.05,
1 fold,
Hero calls $0.04, BB calls $0.03
Flop: ($0.15) Q
8
5
(3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, CO checks
Turn: ($0.15) T
(3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks,
CO bets $0.03,
Hero calls $0.03,
BB folds
River: ($0.21) 4
(2 players)
Hero?
Thoughts:
I would fold pre (and on the turn as well), if not for the fact that the player on my left is a turbo nit (in my 1700 hands sample he has 9 vpip) and if he starts being aggressive i can easily get away with anything but the nuts.
On the turn, i dont really think anyone has anything. Looking at the solver (if i was BB and it was heads up) it folds most of the time. With the sizing, i didnt really think it was anything but a stab at the pot with a marginal hand or a weak draw/gutshot. Considering that we are multiway, i should lean towards folding even more, but again, the other opponent is a turbo nit and if he checks twice he has nothing. I dont really know if i should fold a pair to this sizing.
On the river, if my read is correct, villain might check back or fold to a bet. On the other hand, my hand is super disguised and he might try to stab at the pot again with the hands he would have folded with if i check. I dont really think 4 changes anything for him, as 67 would probably have bet on previous streets. If he bets, i think i should raise, with how passively he played, but what worse hands do i get value from? 54 or 8x/Tx trying to bluffcatch (i think i would have heard from a Q before the river)? What sizing do i use to get value from those?