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River decision River decision

09-22-2021 , 06:32 AM
Player3 (UTG): $29.62 (118 bb)
Hero (MP): $55.20 (221 bb)
Player5 (CO): $31.90 (128 bb)
Player6 (BU): $26.02 (104 bb)
Player1 (SB): $42.05 (168 bb)
Player2 (BB): $28.92 (116 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35) Hero (Hero) is MP with 8 7
1 fold, Hero (MP) raises to $0.62, 2 players fold, Player1 (SB) 3-bets to $2.40, 1 fold, Hero (MP) calls $1.78

Flop: ($5.05) Q T 2 (2 players)
Player1 (SB) bets $2.68, Hero (MP) calls $2.68

Turn: ($10.41) A (2 players)
Player1 (SB) bets $5.53, Hero (MP) calls $5.53

River: ($21.47) 4 (2 players)
Player1 (SB) checks, Hero?

I think pre is ok, IP players were weak and mostly calling the 3b 170bb deep has to be ok, dont have much info on SB

Turn could be marginal if oop isnt checking enough here

River:

What should hero do and why?
River decision Quote
09-22-2021 , 06:58 AM
Flop & turn look good to me. Raising is also an option otf

I feel like we have to bluff this hand otr, it's the bottom of our range & I don't see enough better bluffs, and we could rep TT, AQ, KJ
River decision Quote
09-22-2021 , 07:03 AM
Turn, don't think you can fold given his sizing and our stack depth. If he bet bigger like $7.5 then maybe can yea.

River, def bet, not sure what sizing is best but could get behind $16 or jam. We have 8 high, not a ton of bluff combos too really, J9s and busted FD's, and by busted FD's theres really just like 4 or 5 combos of them that don't have sd value. Bunch of value combos that want to bet liek AQ, QQ, TT and KJs so this hand betting seems like a no brainer.
River decision Quote
09-22-2021 , 07:05 AM
Tough spot, I can't see bluffing being a winning play long term but we have 8 high and zero showdown. He has all of the nutted hands and could be inducing with a check. Yeah he might show up with a Q sometimes but no guarantee he will fold to a bet.

If you're going to bet I would choose a pot/ small overbet size. But then it looks suspect after you've called twice. He could find a hero with KK/ a Q blocking your value hands on the river.

I'd give up mostly, depends on opponent. But vs an unknown probably just give up.
River decision Quote
09-22-2021 , 07:56 AM
I would think about min-raising flop this deep. But that turn is a killer card and I don't think we have many bluffs by the river after only calling turn and v having a billion calling hands

in summary: no idea
River decision Quote
09-22-2021 , 08:07 AM
I'm bluffing this 100% of the time in my pool (anon) but may give up this combo in a known pool given that I overbluff so I would need to find spots to balance. But since V is unk with not much history I would probably bluff about 3/4 pot.
River decision Quote
09-23-2021 , 04:09 AM
I ended up bluffing small here which according to my sim doesnt make much sense, i should mainly be jamming and with this hand too, but im not super thrilled about that play against an unknown

he snapped me off with AK of spades, I guess I got lucky the flush didnt get there

dont remember if villain was supposed to check the turn with his hand but it was a spot where oop should check a lot, which is why I was already contemplating folding turn since they just always have something here and it will be tough to bluff the river if we dont hit which severely cuts our ev
River decision Quote
09-23-2021 , 08:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBananas
Turn, don't think you can fold given his sizing and our stack depth. If he bet bigger like $7.5 then maybe can yea.

River, def bet, not sure what sizing is best but could get behind $16 or jam. We have 8 high, not a ton of bluff combos too really, J9s and busted FD's, and by busted FD's theres really just like 4 or 5 combos of them that don't have sd value. Bunch of value combos that want to bet liek AQ, QQ, TT and KJs so this hand betting seems like a no brainer.
even with a fairly week FD
River decision Quote

      
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