QQ on a K-high flop - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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QQ on a K-high flop

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12-10-2008 , 02:25 AM

flopmonkey

enthusiast

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 96

In this hand UTG is running 22/15/1.5 over about 400 hands. His FvFCB is 54%.

Party Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BB: $25.10
UTG: $32.40
MP: $26.70
CO: $47.00
BTN: $29.85
Hero (SB): $41.40

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with Q

UTG raises to $1, 3 folds, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, UTG calls $3

Flop: ($8.25) 6

(2 players)
Hero bets $4.50, UTG calls $4.50

Turn: ($17.25) 2

(2 players)
Hero ???

Should I keep barreling here? Also, was my flop cbet too small?

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12-10-2008 , 02:32 AM

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 52,648

i probably make it 6 on that flop. and fire again on the turn. if he raises you can be fairly confident you're beat. if you check/fold you will never really be sure, and if you check/call you're just playing a guessing game and will likely have to guess again on the river.

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12-10-2008 , 02:34 AM

vixticator

clutch

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 117,339

Try to check the hand down. Once he calls preflop and flop there is no sense in putting another dime in here. C/f and C/f. Don't see any merit to betting the turn or continuing in the hand should he bet at some point.

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12-10-2008 , 02:36 AM

bigDee

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 306

You should check fold the turn dude. Don't fire a second barrel.

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12-10-2008 , 02:42 AM

matrix

there is NO spoon

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 9,866

Flop bet is perfectly sized imo.

If we fire a 2nd barrel we have to put the rest in on the river, lots of his range here is AK.

Just c/f turn - anything he has that's not AA/AK or a set we have crushed and he's very unlikely to bet worse hands.

If the turn checks through and the river's a brick I'd call up to a 1/2 pot bet, specially if he INSTA bets and turn the ladies into a bluff catcher, but thats about the only time I put more monies into this pot.

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12-10-2008 , 02:48 AM

flopmonkey

enthusiast

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 96

Does this look like a realistic range?

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

61,380 games 0.031 secs 1,980,000 games/sec

Board: Kh 6d 4h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.372% 44.60% 00.77% 27377 472.50 { KK-66, 44, AKs, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah3h, Ah2h, AKo }
Hand 1: 54.628% 53.86% 00.77% 33058 472.50 { QcQd }

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12-10-2008 , 02:55 AM

NapTime

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 54

Not really. I'd give him the following range:
QQ-99, AKs, AhQh, AhJh, AKo And MAYBE 44,66-88.

I highly doubt he calls a 3bet from SB with AT/A9 and I also doubt he raises UTG with A2s-A8s very often.

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12-10-2008 , 10:29 AM

flopmonkey

enthusiast

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 96

Quote:

Originally Posted by NapTime

If this is his true range then this becomes a coin flip. With $17 in the pot it seems pretty weak to check/fold!

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12-10-2008 , 10:53 AM

VillainUnknown

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 2,957

flop bet is fine.

Bet about 1/2 pot on the turn again, and fold to any further action (I really doubt he's going to bluff a missed FD on the river, plus this part of his range is pretty limited).

I think you'll get plenty of passive players calling 2 streets with JJ-99 here. You would expect him to 4-bet AK most times pre-flop (not all the time though) and KQ is limited by the fact you have 2 queens.

I really hate checking the turn with the plan to c/f the river.

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