Villain is a decent REG with TAG stats, I don't have much else on him otherwise.

PokerStars - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 84.38 BB
UTG: 140.66 BB
MP: 145.44 BB
CO: 105.38 BB
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q Q

fold, fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 7.5 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 5 BB

Flop: (16.5 BB, 2 players) 7 3 J
CO checks, Hero bets 4.7 BB, CO calls 4.7 BB

Turn: (25.9 BB, 2 players) 2
CO bets 16 BB, Hero calls 16 BB

River: (57.9 BB, 2 players) 6
CO bets 77.18 BB and is all-in

Call. It's kind random line by him. I don't think he gets to DB that turn. But we block lot of his flushes with Qd, and regs sometimes go crazy with nut blocker and we are still too high in our range (after range bet otf?) to fold.

Pretty suspicious wheb villain leads turn on the 3rd diamond coming in. I think he would check raise his JJ,77 on the flop but I guess he could call and lead turn with them since another diamond comes in for protection but even then the sizing is kind of small if he was trying to protect. Even though Hero has Qd I think villains range is flush heavy. Maybe he can olay this way with AJ? With a diamond? If you put villains range of flushes and sets you can fold river I dont think it matters how high up in our range we are if villain has us beat. I also think the sizingg on the floo should be much larger like 2/3 pot , villain should connect with some hands no?

fold river

i don't see how we can fold here with the Qd

You summed up a lot of my thoughts. Although his turn bet is over 1/2 pot which is enough to make it a -EV call for me if he's folding on all flush cards.

[QUOTE=Donkeybets;57249251Maybe he can olay this way with AJ? With a diamond? [/QUOTE]

It's possible, but playing AJ this way, even with the A feels like weird range merge. These big river overbets tend to be either strong value or bluffs, and they skew more towards strong value IME.

It definitely felt like a set, and I'll spoil it and say I folded. He has all JJ/77 and probably some 33 here.

I'll admit adjusting my flop sizings on different board textures is a weakness of mine. Unless I have a pretty strong read on how my opponent is likely to react to different sizing, I tend to default to 30% as a catch all. Probably 90% of my IP c-bets are this size, but it's something I'm going to dive into later in some training modules.