Quote:
Originally Posted by RBlagojevich
really? i'm 45% or better against top pair hands, and 30% against any non-Ace flush. The pot is $5 and I have $10 left in my stack so there's enough equity right there I would think. So it's a flip if I get stacks in on the flop, and if there's any slim possibility of fold equity i would think I should be happy to take it.
The all-in guy was a fish with no stack left so he can have like anything
I'm willing to admit you know more than i do... Tell me where I'm going wrong here.
First of all you're UTG and you get 3bet by CO, I don't see him bluffing here ever. The fact that he's a fish makes it more likely he have a very good hand here imo. So if he do it for value he'll have (I assume) JJ/QQ/KK/AA/AK it's a tight range but fish like those cards and there's a difference between fish and maniacs. Most fish aren't naturally maniacs.
So if we put CO on that range I would fold pre because we're looking to hit twopair pretty much and the pot is to big to "play" postflop so you're playing your cards.
KhQc got 32.5% equity against that range.
Also I'd expect CO to never bluff here with a worse hand, therefore I'd check and hopefully it checks around. I don't hate a lead that much, but it's really hard to B/C and be happy about it and you don't need to bet much at all if you want to lead but it's gonna be tricky anyway.
It's a tricky hand, I'll give you that, but I'd probably fold pre or C/F this flop.
(I'm not saying I'm right here, don't think I've ever been in this position, but that's my thoughts about it atm)