Quote:
Originally Posted by GenericP
Sigh. My return to FTP's fullring games haven't been so triumphant.
20k hands basically breakeven and regulars keep owning me with these uber lines. I actually checked and hoped he would bluff with AK/AQ and valuebet TT-QQ. Well, obv not.
Full Tilt Poker $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (SB): $10.00
BB: $2.00
UTG: $7.90
MP: $1.70
CO: $9.49
BTN: $13.70
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with K K
2 folds, CO raises to $0.35, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1, 1 fold, CO calls $0.65
Flop: ($2.10) 5 2 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.40, CO calls $1.40
Turn: ($4.90) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4.90, Hero raises to $7.60 all in, CO calls $2.19 all in
River: ($19.08) 4 (2 players - 2 are all in)
Final Pot: $19.08
Hero shows K K (a pair of Kings)
CO shows 5 5 (three of a kind, Fives)
CO wins $17.81
(Rake: $1.27)
btw, are NL10 and NL25 hugely nitty these days or is it just me being a nit?
depending on the villain's stats, this is either a nice hand or a pretty big mistake.
If he is tag-ish with a small vpip/pfr gap, say 12/10 or so, then you are value towning yourself to c/r the turn, as he is never calling you with a hand you beat other than maybe the combos of QQ and such that he didn't 3 bet pre.
This is a good spot to just bet the turn, reevaluating (folding sometimes and calling sometimes) when he ships over top of you. He has a lot of hands that can call a double barrel, but not much you beat that can call the crai.
OTOH, if he is on the laggy side, and might bet and then call your shove with A6, 66, 99-JJ, etc., then this is a well-played hand, imo.
The key here is analyzing the percentage of his cold calling range that is purely set mining hands here, because this board just keeps hitting a set mining range.